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Interest rates

This Month

The jobless rate ticked higher in March.

Still-tight jobs market unlikely to derail May rate cut

Economists still expect the RBA to cut rates next month despite employment increasing by 32,200 in March.

Warren Hogan has long argued against a rate cut. He has now changed his mind.

Why the RBA won’t cut interest rates in May: economists

Judo Bank’s Warren Hogan is the latest to tip a rate cut in May because of Trump’s hefty tariffs on China, Australia’s top trading partner. But some still say rates will stay on hold.

The Australian dollar is poised to fall below US59¢, says CBA.

Rebound or mirage? Aussie dollar faces global storm

The escalating US-China trade war and concerns about a global recession will weigh on the Australian dollar and could push it back below US59¢.

The Powell put isn’t in sight yet. And the Trump one may be a way off too.

Investors are waking up to the fact no bailouts are coming

As Wall Street sank again and investors swam in a sea of red, Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered the kicker the market really didn’t want to hear.

Pointing to the problem: Australia doesn’t have enough homes. And the pace of building slowed in the December quarter.

Home building just got slower

In the week that political parties are offering to stoke demand, new figures show the sector started building 4 per cent fewer homes in the December quarter.

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House prices jumped to records across several affordable suburbs in Sydney’s outer ring areas over the past three months.

The suburbs where house prices hit records

Expectations of deeper rate cuts along with demand-boosting Labor and Coalition housing policies could spark a sharp increase in prices this year, say analysts.

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There’s a buying opportunity in commercial property, but it won’t last

Cashed-up commercial property investors that act fast can pick up assets at good prices.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese on the campaign trail with partner Jodie Haydon in Perth on Saturday.

Albanese offers first home buyers 5pc deposits, fuelling demand

The new policy is a dramatic expansion of the government’s first home guarantee scheme as Labor seeks to grab voters’ attention on the issue of housing.

Taxpayers could be forced to top up the $10 billion Housing Australia Future Fund if financial markets do not recover in the next three months.

Labor’s housing fund may need bailout after stock slump

Taxpayers could be forced to top up the $10 billion Housing Australia Future Fund if financial markets do not recover in the next three months.

The gold price is soaring as uncertainty reigns.

Bond markets left reeling as epic week scars traders

The wild swings across bond markets this week were reminiscent of the biggest crises in modern history. Battered traders are now moving to more reliable havens.

Donald Trump said he had been considering his tariff pause for some time.

US inflation unexpectedly cools ahead of tariffs impact

New data showed the consumer price index unexpectedly dipped 0.1 per cent in March.

Speaking for the first time since Trump’s tariff announcement, Michele Bullock says the volatility caused by the trade war is not as bad as the GFC.

Bullock seeks to calm nerves as rate cut calls grow louder

Speaking for the first time since Trump’s tariff announcement, Michele Bullock says the volatility caused by the trade war is not as bad as the GFC.

The Coalition’s proposal to pay down debt would actually involve the federal government taking on even more debt.

Coalition’s Future Fund plan is a funny money fiscal illusion

The opposition’s proposal to pay down debt would actually involve the federal government taking on even more debt.

A trader on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Anxiety about the inflationary impact of tariffs are threatening to spike bond rates.

Bond rout shakes investors as world’s safe haven loses its appeal

The turmoil in US government bonds overshadowed deep losses on the sharemarket, as traders were left wondering if this was “the end of exorbitant privilege”.

Chinese President Xi Jinping.

$A tipped to keep tumbling as superpowers ‘collide’

The Australian dollar hit a fresh five-year low below US60¢ and traders ramped up bets the RBA will slash the cash rate next month as fears of a global recession grow.

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Economists don’t believe a recession is near for Australia.

Why economists doubt a recession is coming for Australia

Australian businesses affected by Trump’s tariffs will find new export markets while the economy will be bolstered by rate cuts and a falling currency, analysts say.

Former RBA board member Warwick McKibbin says he does not expect Australia to go into a recession. If history is any guide, betting against him is a risky trade.

Why Australia’s top modeller says we are not headed for recession

Former RBA board member Warwick McKibbin has an unrivalled track record in financial crises. Betting against him is a risky trade.

Sharp declines in the share market in recent decades have triggered deep interest rate cuts before house prices surge.

Market chaos threatens housing recovery: analysts

The nascent house price recovery could stall in the next few months. But interest rate cuts may spark a fresh rally.

Few options exist for employers such as DP World faced with various types of legal industrial action.

Trump trade shock reignites inflation fears

US tariffs raise the prospect of a resurgence in price pressures just as the RBA was on the cusp of declaring victory against the post-pandemic inflation surge.

Small-cap fund manager LSN Capital is bullish on ASX-listed shipbuilder Austal, betting that the ramp up in security spending will continue.

Small-cap fundies seek shelter in gold and war stocks

Fund managers have been piling into defence-related companies amid the escalating trade war. They also still like the gold trade.

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