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Australian economy

Yesterday

Which states are in ‘the slow lane’ for retail spending?

Retail sales in Victoria and Queensland are lagging the rest of Australia on a per-person basis, while Western Australia tops the spending charts.

  • Updated
  • Ronald Mizen
AustralianSuper’s Mark Delaney had to play catch-up in the back half of FY24.

‘If it was normal, I wouldn’t be in a job’: inside AustralianSuper’s year

CIO Mark Delaney realised he was too bearish and had to make an important call over Christmas. By April, it was reversed. Nvidia was at the heart of it.

  • Updated
  • Anthony Macdonald
 Student numbers are at around 786,000—close to pre-pandemic levels of around 756,000 in 2019.

Slashing foreign student numbers would be economic self-harm

Before the government puts the squeeze on Australia’s $48 billion university export industry, it should consider how much GDP it is prepared to sacrifice.

  • Bran Black

This Month

Power prices are expected to be volatile through Australia’s transition to low-carbon energy.

RBA inflation target challenged by power prices

Other areas of the economy will need to offset the impact of higher than expected power prices to keep inflation within target, economists say.

  • Angela Macdonald-Smith and Ronald Mizen

Rising inflation tests RBA’s ‘limited tolerance’

More rate rises could be needed, as soon as August, after the Reserve Bank noted inflation “increased the risk” rates would not rein in CPI as quickly as forecast.

  • Ronald Mizen
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The quality of healthcare outcomes has risen, but so has the cost.

The public sector is the key to Australia’s productivity puzzle

There is some cause for cautious optimism for increased productivity in the healthcare sector if outcomes can be more accurately measured and assessed.

  • Alex Robson

June

Reserve Bank of Australia deputy governor Andrew Hauser.

RBA’s new Englishman tells Aussies: you’ve forgotten how rich you are

If Australians don’t appreciate their fortune, as Andrew Hauser correctly points out, they may not be well placed to preserve it.

  • Michael Stutchbury
Jim Chalmers believes Australians will be better off with more understandable information from the nation’s largest banks.

Recession a 50-50 chance if RBA raises rates: economists

As many as 100,000 Australians could lose their jobs in an inflation-driven recession likely to coincide with the federal election.

  • Aaron Patrick
WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange leaves the United States Courthouse in Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands.

Government under the cosh, keen to claim a win with Assange

It’s still not clear how Australia managed to get the Americans to drop the process of law on a man they wanted for espionage.

  • Laura Tingle

Democrats mull replacing Biden after ‘terrible’ performance

Joe Biden’s mental and physical capabilities became a main point of discussion as the head-to-head concluded. Critics also slammed the absence of real-time fact-checking. Follow updates here.

  • Updated
  • Euan Black
APRA’s chairman, John Lonsdale. “Most of the framework is principles-based, which creates significant room for banks to run their businesses the way they want.”

APRA chairman: I won’t be winding back the regulatory clock

John Lonsdale hit back at CEOs seeking relief, declaring current APRA restrictions as deliberate and appropriate, in a speech at an ABA event on Wednesday.

  • James Eyers
Companies are running into strong headwinds ahead of June 30 balance dates, drawing out the downgrades.

Profits finally run over by the interest rates truck

Somehow, corporate profits and margins beat expectations at the February reporting season. A spate of downgrades this week shows cost pressures and softening demand is finally biting.

  • Anthony Macdonald
Labor has committed to all 11 recommendations in Craig Emerson’s review of the grocery code of conduct.

Coles, Woolies face multibillion-dollar fines under new mandatory code

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has agreed to adopt all 11 recommendations of Craig Emerson’s review into the Food and Grocery Code of Conduct.

  • Ronald Mizen
State Street Global’s Dwyfor Evans has a wider Asia Pacific remit, which a different lens on his coverage of the Australian economy. He met with superannuation funds and institutional investors in Melbourne and Sydney this week.

Two charts show why RBA is discussing rate increases, not cuts

Australia is in pretty rare company and that’s not necessarily a good thing. What the bank needs if it is to stamp out goods inflation is a stronger Australian dollar.

  • Anthony Macdonald
Big-spending state governments are recording some of the largest budget deficits in the developed world.

State spending splurge could delay interest rate cuts, warns Westpac

Governments are planning to inject more than $50 billion of stimulus into the economy in the year ahead, adding to inflation pressures, the bank has warned.

  • John Kehoe
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Protesters and pro-China supporters on the front lawn of Parliament House ahead of a visit from Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Monday.

Why our spooks and economists are teaming up to manage China

Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy and chief spook Andrew Shearer are leading a new economic security regime that will have far-reaching consequences for business and investors.

  • John Kehoe
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Tax cuts will prolong rate pain: directors

Economic uncertainty and the energy transition are among the top issues being debated in our biggest boardrooms.

  • Patrick Durkin and Sally Patten
Syrian refugee Wissam Chabo eventually landed a permanent job at ANZ after working in jobs beneath his skill level for years.

Skilled refugees could unlock $9b in extra GDP

Maths graduate Wissam Chabo applied for 100 jobs before getting work in a local cafe. Research shows skilled migrants are badly underutilised, even during Australia’s skills shortage.

  • Euan Black
Julia Gillard replies to a motion by then-opposition leader Tony Abbott on the day of her famous misogyny speech in 2012.

Gillard is right: Gender equality must mean no man left behind

The former PM’s view that decades of advocacy have felt exclusionary is a challenge to invite men and boys into the conversation

  • Susan Lloyd-Hurwitz
Centrelink

Why JobKeeper may be part of our productivity problem

An anxious Reserve Bank of Australia is hoping for a pick-up in labour productivity this year to help alleviate the economy’s inflation problem.

  • John Kehoe

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/topic/australian-economy-1m3k