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Bond market too optimistic about rapid rate cuts, investors warn

Cecile Lefort

Inflation has finally returned to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s target band for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic, but fund managers warn that lingering price pressures should curb hopes for deeper easing.

Bond traders fully expect the central bank to cut the cash rate by a quarter-point rate to 3.85 per cent when it meets on May 20 after data showed core inflation – the RBA’s preferred measure – cooled to 2.9 per cent in the March quarter from 3.3 per cent, within the 2 per cent to 3 per cent target. Inflation peaked at nearly 7 per cent in 2022.

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Cécile Lefort is a markets reporter based in the Sydney newsroom. Cécile worked in New York and Hong Kong writing about global capital markets. Email Cecile at cecile.lefort@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/bond-market-too-optimistic-about-rapid-rate-cuts-investors-warn-20250429-p5lv6r