NewsBite

Cecile Lefort

June

Strategists are concerned US President Donald Trump could lose patience on trade negotiations.

Markets asleep at the wheel as tariff D-Day looms

The Australian dollar and equities could tumble should the White House wrong foot markets by raising duties significantly on July 9, strategists warn.

Queensland farmer David Robb is cautious optimistic after a spike in the wheat price.

Farmers welcome wheat price spike after Iran conflict

Wheat farmers are hopeful about the year ahead after turmoil in the Middle East triggered a long-awaited upswing in the price of the key Australian export.

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

Oil shock could put RBA in a bind on rate cuts

Amid rising global tensions and higher oil prices, the Reserve Bank faces a delicate balancing act as it weighs interest rate cuts against creeping inflation.

Brent crude futures have jumped 11 per cent since Israel first launched an attack on Iran on June 13, hitting oil production facilities.

Investors fret Iran attack oil price surge will upend long bull run

Traders say crude could rise beyond $US100 a barrel, making it harder for the RBA to continue cutting interest rates as anticipated this year.

US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell expects inflation to hit consumers.

RBA, Fed in no rush to cut interest rates, economists warn

Traders are betting big on US reductions despite the Federal Reserve hinting at higher inflation ahead. A solid jobs report has cast doubt in Australia.

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The escalating conflict between Iran and Israel has sparked a rally in the US dollar.

US dollar back as a safe haven? Not so fast

The greenback’s sudden resurgence may be more about oil prices and shifting global money than investors seeking safety from the escalating Middle East conflict.

As the ASX trades near record levels, there are some stocks that brokers say investors should be selling.

Brokers and investors collide on these four ASX stocks

As the sharemarket pushes Commonwealth Bank and JB-Hi to record highs, analysts are warning the rally in some stocks won’t last.

Greg Combet: “I became intensely interested in politics from a really young age.”

Pension giants put brakes on US investments, warning of big tax hit

Future Fund chairman Greg Combet says the “big beautiful bill” could “dramatically escalate tax rates”, and AMP is pausing long-term American investment.

The new hedge fund that invests in ASX 300 companies.

UniSuper invests $500m in new ASX hedge fund

The new quant fund run by RQI Investors’ Joanna Nash is using AI to make stock bets – it is long Qantas, but also betting against IDP Education.

Jacob Celermajer, portfolio manager at Cordis Asset Management.

How a $170,000 X-ray helped this fund to make money

In a world where people live so long that their organs wear out, Cordis fund manager Jacob Celermajer has been buying up companies that tackle some of the world’s most chronic diseases.

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. There is increasing bullishness among investors that the worst of the tariff shocks are over.

Investors are piling back into the momentum trade, hoping for records

Fund managers say that even the shock of Israeli strikes on Iran is unlikely to hold back Australian shares, which are on the cusp of a bull market.

Grant Hackett’s Generation Development Group is a firm favourite among small cap managers.

Three small cap stocks that fundies tip are on the rise

Speaking at the Morgan Stanley conference in Sydney, fund managers from Ausbil to Perpetual and Wilson Asset Management tipped their best stock picks.

Oaktree’s Howard Marks says valuations are “lofty but not nutty”.

Markets are ‘lofty but not nutty’, says Oaktree’s Marks

Howard Marks says while Wall Street’s rebound is “troubling”, valuations do not suggest a bubble. Still, he’s telling clients to load up in fixed income.

Rajiv Jain, chairman and chief investment officer of GQG Partners.

GQG’s Jain warns US stocks have hit an ‘inflection point’

Stockpicker Rajiv Jain told the Morgan Stanley Conference that Wall Street’s valuations are too high in an environment where earnings are hard to predict.

President Donald Trump’s efforts to reign in public spending has failed to convince investors.

How America’s debt ‘ticking time bomb’ could curb the RBA

Investors are demanding higher returns for government debt globally, at levels not see since the GFC. Strategists warn this could result in less aggressive rate cuts in Australia.

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Phil Ryan, Dairy Farmer in Bega.

Inside the great decline of Australia’s dairy industry

Local dairy farmers are facing another season of low milk prices, leaving many farms unprofitable as they also grapple with extreme weather and surging costs.

The Aussie has strengthened amid Donald Trump’s trade war.

US dollar slide threatens super fund returns

The rising Aussie against the greenback is forcing Australia’s biggest investors to increase protection of overseas assets.

May

$A emerges as unlikely Trump turmoil safe haven

It isn’t just sentiment, with the Australian dollar’s share of global central bank currency reserves more than doubling, mostly over recent months.

Shoppers at a supermarket.

Inflation data no barrier to another RBA rate cut

Headline inflation remained within the central bank’s target band in April, bolstering market confidence for further easing

Neale Bennett and other almond farmers have been making the most of the spike in Californian prices by charging a hefty premium of their own.

Australian farmers go nuts as almond prices hit 10-year high

Local growers are making the most of Donald Trump’s trade war by charging China huge premiums for the tree nut. A weak Australian dollar is also helping.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/cecile-lefort-p4ywcg