Yesterday
Bond markets left reeling as epic week scars traders
The wild swings across bond markets this week were reminiscent of the biggest crises in modern history. Battered traders are now moving to more reliable havens.
This Month
Calm descends on bond markets, but tariff war will push yields higher
Bond yields dropped after Trump stunned the market by pausing most of his reciprocal tariffs, but analysts warn that US Treasuries face higher borrowing costs still.
Five circuit breaks that can stop the market turmoil
Trade negotiations, central bank action and government stimulus are among the options being discussed by economists and strategists that would restore calm to financial markets.
$A tipped to keep tumbling as superpowers ‘collide’
The Australian dollar hit a fresh five-year low below US60¢ and traders ramped up bets the RBA will slash the cash rate next month as fears of a global recession grow.
Markets have seen through Peter Navarro’s ‘tissue of lies’
The evidence against Donald Trump’s tariff adviser, and his “poorly designed and reckless” tariff hikes, is overwhelming.
Traders eye up to five RBA rate cuts amid market turmoil
The Aussie tumbled below US60¢, its lowest level since early in the COVID-19 pandemic, as the bond market ramped up expectations of bigger interest rate moves.
This market metric shows the sell-off is getting scary
The plunge on Wall Street was breathtaking. But there is one indicator that investors should really be worried about.
Traders temper rate cut bets for May after RBA holds its nerve
The Reserve Bank has left the cash rate on hold at 4.1 per cent, but remains “cautious about the outlook” amid an escalating trade war.
March
Super’s global push is threatening the Aussie dollar
The country’s largest funds are investing about $5.4 billion overseas every three months, according to Deutsche Bank, potentially driving the Aussie dollar lower.
Traders temper bets on RBA rate cuts after pre-election budget
Bond investors are concerned about Australia’s spending plans as the government’s financing arm unveiled the biggest annual funding program outside the pandemic.
Why a weak US dollar may be part of Trump’s plan
Investors and strategists are pondering whether Trump’s unorthodox ideas to revive US manufacturing will succeed.
Fear of a ‘Trumpcession’ is growing. Here’s why
Fears of a sharp US downturn are permeating financial markets. Even so, Perpetual and BlackRock remain optimistic about the US economy.
Why a battered $A is a double-edged sword for ASX stocks
CSL, Accent Group, Kogan, Atlas Arteria and Qantas are feeling the impact of a depressed Australian dollar in their fortunes.
February
Market tips two more rate cuts despite RBA caution
Bond markets are sticking with their rate cut forecasts after the central bank finally joined the global easing campaign by lowering the cash rate to 4.1 per cent.
The Australian farmers set to benefit from Trump’s trade war
Australian almonds, wine and beef could be among biggest gainers from US tariffs as countries turn to cheaper markets. The weak Australian dollar also helps.
US equities fall as hopes for lower rates fade again
Moderating job growth, rising inflation expectations and the prospect of reciprocal tariffs knocked the wind out of Wall Street.
Market panic may be the best protection against Trump’s tariff war
Investors were sure the “Art of the Deal” schtick would mean import duties would be avoided. Now they face a world of “uncontrollable chaos”.
January
What interest rate cuts will mean for your money
February is firming as the month that the Reserve Bank will cut the cash rate, which will have flow-on effects for shares, property and term deposits.
Major banks close to consensus on February interest rate cut call
Traders imply an 80 per cent chance of an interest rate cut next month to 4.1 per cent though the Reserve Bank could opt to wait for more data.
The ASX stocks most exposed to a weak $A
The Aussie dollar’s decline is not yet factored into consensus ASX earnings forecasts, which will benefit some stocks and weigh on others this reporting season.