This Month
The digital currency quietly taking over the global financial system
In an era where economic statecraft increasingly involves payment systems and financial sanctions, control over monetary infrastructure carries geopolitical weight.
Viktor Shvets’ big lesson for investors from the Israel-Iran conflict
The battle between the two Middle East nations shows we live in a world of rising volatility and risk. Shareholders keep ignoring both.
Your super fund isn’t ready for the world’s biggest trade
The AUKUS review is more evidence Donald Trump is trying to rewire global trade and security. Big investors must rethink their US dollar exposure.
GQG’s Jain warns US stocks have hit an ‘inflection point’
Stockpicker Rajiv Jain told the Morgan Stanley Conference that Wall Street’s valuations are too high in an environment where earnings are hard to predict.
As chaos reigns in the US, Porcelli warns of creaking labour market
Tom Porcelli built up a loyal following as RBC’s chief economist. He’s returned to Australia with a $US1.4 trillion manager and a bleak outlook for America.
How America’s debt ‘ticking time bomb’ could curb the RBA
Investors are demanding higher returns for government debt globally, at levels not see since the GFC. Strategists warn this could result in less aggressive rate cuts in Australia.
How LA’s riots worsen ‘the biggest risk’ facing Australian super funds
Donald Trump’s immigration policy could create a shock to the US economy that would heap more pressure on the weakening US dollar. Aussies are uniquely exposed.
Why this $6.5 trillion investor is betting big on the $A
UBS believes the Australia dollar is one of the best ways to play the decline of US exceptionalism and the loss of faith in the world’s reserve currency.
US dollar slide threatens super fund returns
The rising Aussie against the greenback is forcing Australia’s biggest investors to increase protection of overseas assets.
Why the end of the US dollar’s reign is just a mirage
Investors are navigating a subtle but meaningful pivot: the US dollar remains king, but the court is no longer as unified or deferential as before.
May
$A emerges as unlikely Trump turmoil safe haven
It isn’t just sentiment, with the Australian dollar’s share of global central bank currency reserves more than doubling, mostly over recent months.
Australian farmers go nuts as almond prices hit 10-year high
Local growers are making the most of Donald Trump’s trade war by charging China huge premiums for the tree nut. A weak Australian dollar is also helping.
US dollar extends 2025 losses on Trump’s latest tariff threats
The Bloomberg spot dollar index is approaching its lowest level since December 2023 as the US president revived concerns about global trade policy.
Traders bet on July rate cut and more to follow
Bond traders are pricing in a good chance the RBA will deliver more rate relief at its next policy meeting in July followed by two more by year-end. Not everyone agrees.
RBA’s Bullock shocks market with ‘jumbo’ rate talk
Bond yields and the Australian dollar dropped as traders ramped up rate cut bets after Michele Bullock surprised with a more dovish tone on interest rates.
RBA could throw a curveball. Here are its 3 options
Markets and economists are expecting a second rate cut from the Reserve Bank this year, but there is always the chance of a surprise.
Market sticks with rate cut next week despite job surge
Investors temper their RBA bets after employment data smashes expectations, but they still see a strong chance of a move lower on May 20
How the US lost its stranglehold on global reserve currency status
We may well be having an “economic moment” where the American dollar goes the way of the pound before it.
Rate cuts still on the way after US-China tariff pause
Traders now expect ‘just’ three rate cuts in Australia after the US-China trade deal, but investors are still worried about the health of the global economy.
Risk assets rally as US-China trade deal exceeds fundies’ expectations
Investors and markets have cheered the major progress in a trade deal that will have Beijing and Washington temporarily easing tariff levels for at least 90 days.