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Global economy

Yesterday

Dominic Perrottet says Australian governments and business must look past the “theatre” of the Trump administration.

Australia should look past Trump’s theatre, says BHP’s man in US

Former NSW premier Dominic Perrottet says governments and companies are too distracted by short-term drama in America and are ignoring a fundamental shift.

This Month

A Chinese investor looks at the boards in Shanghai.

China’s $2trn market rescue is just the start as trade war intensifies

State-linked funds stepped in to rescue Chinese stocks this week as the battle with the US intensified. But it’s an expensive exercise.

Michele Bullock delivers her speech.

RBA awaits China stimulus to protect Australia

The Reserve Bank and Treasury are pinning their hopes on infrastructure assistance from Beijing to shield the nation from a deepening trade war.

Bourbon was removed from the bloc’s list amid pressure from member states after Trump threatened 200 per cent duties on wine, champagne and other alcoholic beverages from France and elsewhere.

EU adopts tariffs on $45b of US goods in metals fight

The European Commission said the countermeasures can be suspended at any time “should the US agree to a fair and balanced negotiated outcome”.

Donald Trump’s counsel for Americans to be patient and that his tariffs will return manufacturing to the United States, implies a longer term, more permanent, process at play.

Trump’s tariffs will isolate America from global trade solution

Many countries that share US concerns about China’s industrial subsidies will now see it as a more reliable trade partner.

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Donald Trump memorabilia on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. The performance of the market over the last 50 days has made for the worst start of a presidency for more than a decade.

Trump’s chaos kills American exceptionalism

Investor belief in US superiority drove Wall Street to sky-high valuations, but the president’s trade war is now eroding this conviction.

Senior trade adviser Peter Navarro at the tariff announcement ceremony in the White House Rose Garden.

Markets have seen through Peter Navarro’s ‘tissue of lies’

The evidence against Donald Trump’s tariff adviser, and his “poorly designed and reckless” tariff hikes, is overwhelming.

Whipsawing Wall Street puts ASX back in a tailspin

Investors and traders start the day doing one thing, and finish it doing the opposite. Welcome to markets in the Trump-tariffs era.

The Fin Election 2025 Lisa Murray and Phillip Coorey

The Trump slump and Dutton’s ‘ham-fisted’ backflip

This week, Phillip Coorey, Lidija Ivanovski and Paul Karp on how Trump’s tariff plan has upended the campaign and why betting markets are finally catching up.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with Donald Trump in the Oval Office.

Trump’s game of bluff on tariffs and tax

China is threatening to “fight to the end” if America imposes yet more tariffs. The respite on global sharemarkets is likely to be temporary if trade tensions continue to escalate.

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell and US President Donald Trump.

The Fed won’t rescue the US economy from Trump’s tariff folly

All told, stagflation is the optimistic scenario. It is more likely that the US will end up in a full-blown recession accompanied by higher inflation.

China has hit back at Trump’s tariffs quickly.

‘The sky won’t fall’: Beijing appeals for calm over tariff storm

Beijing said it has a range of tools to defend its economy from Trump’s trade war, but also acknowledged growth could take a hit, as China stocks plunged.

Donald Trump

Why Trump is plotting a global return to the 1930s

The US president wants to unwind decades of economic integration. The risk of a Depression-era trade war is causing markets to panic.

The highest echelons of America’s economic bureaucracy thought it was a good idea to slap tariffs on penguins and used a stunningly puerile “formula” to justify that and other tariff measures.

Trump’s idiocy will put a 2 in front of RBA cash rate by end of year

Retaliatory tariffs are a supply shock that will not only see the global economy lurch into a deep recession but will do so with a near-term inflationary bias.

The ASX 200 was on a one-way trip lower on Monday morning.

Only one thing can stop this crash. It isn’t happening yet

The selling will only stop when big institutions start buying. Who’s brave enough to step up?

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Fed chairman Jerome Powell said it was not the Fed’s role to comment on the Trump administration’s policies.

Fed’s Powell says tariffs likely to boost inflation, slow growth

The chairman said that the nation faces “a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks”, adding the central bank has time to wait for more data.

Disney CEO Bob Iger.

Corporate America fears wrath of Trump as it mulls tariffs response

Executives are unsure of how far to go in re-engineering their businesses in response to the trade war, amid doubts over how long they will last.

Volatility is here to stay, at least for the short term.

One stock to buy, and other opportunities amid the market carnage

It would be an understatement to say that the world has become a more volatile and uncertain place, but we are actively watching for bargains.

Donald Trump’s tariff announcement last week has shaken global markets.

US starts collecting Trump’s 10pc tariff, smashing trade norms

The initial 10 per cent “baseline” levy paid by American importers took effect at seaports, airports and customs warehouses on Saturday.

The Nasdaq 100’s price-to-earnings ratio has fallen to 28 times from 38 times in February, compared with an average over the past two decades of 25, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Nasdaq 100 sinks into bear market after six-week sell-off

“The drop feels awful, but we’ve only given back a percentage of a spectacular long-term rally and haven’t seen a true capitulation,” one strategist said.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/topic/global-economy-1n6f