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Inflation

Today

Treasurer Jim Chalmers delivers the ministerial statement on the economy in Parliament today.

Chalmers reveals another tax revenue upgrade

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has flagged the mid-year update will paint a healthier-than-expected picture of the budget due to a rise in the tax take.

  • Michael Read

Yesterday

The RBA board has signalled that a rate cut in either February or April is highly unlikely, saying it needs to see more than one quarter of inflation data.

RBA hoses down early-2025 rate cut hopes

The Reserve Bank board has signalled that a rate cut in either February or April is highly unlikely, saying it needs to see more than one quarter of inflation data.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey on Tuesday.

NSW braces for Trump trade turbulence and bond market shocks

The state’s treasurer has warned an erosion in free trade could make Australians poorer, as the incoming administration weighs imposing costly tariffs.

  • Michael Read

This Month

Governments should put hard caps on spending growth to rebuild their finances, preventing the public sector from pushing up inflation, the Business Council says.

‘Unhelpful’ governments driving up interest rates: BCA

Governments should put hard caps on spending growth to rebuild their finances, preventing the public sector from pushing up inflation, the Business Council says.

  • Michael Read
Owner-occupiers looking to upgrade now need to stump up a $300,000 deposit, with high interest rates forcing some owners to sell and young people to get parental support.

The amount you need to put down for a home deposit is rising fast

Owner-occupiers looking to upgrade now need to stump up a $300,000 deposit, with high interest rates forcing some owners to sell and young people to seek help from mum and dad.

  • Michael Read
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Governor Michele Bullock during a press conference after the RBA’s rate decision on Tuesday.

Economists give up on rate cuts. Investors and borrowers can too

Impossibly wedged between predicting the future and giving traders something to discuss, nobody wants to hear from the experts that the RBA is standing still.

  • Anthony Macdonald
Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Retreat meeting, in Lima, Peru, on Saturday 16 November 2024. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in Peru.

IMF warns Australia and APEC on budget spending

Managing director Kristalina Georgieva told leaders while it was “remarkable” that inflation was retreating globally without recession, “in many countries it is not reflected in public sentiment”.

  • Phillip Coorey
A CarMax salesman shows a used Tesla Model Y electric vehicle (EV) to a customer at a dealership in Fremont, California.

US October retail sales affirm strength of economy

Rate cut bets were pared after a better-than-expected 0.4 per cent rise in retail sales last month and an upwardly revised 0.8 per cent rise in September.

  • Lucia Mutikani
The PBO estimates the benefits of the stage three tax cuts will be gone by the end of the decade as bracket creep drives personal income tax rates to a record high.

Stage three tax cuts to be eliminated by bracket creep: PBO

The budget watchdog estimates the benefits of the tax cuts will be gone by the end of the decade as bracket creep drives personal income tax rates to a record.

  • Michael Read
The RBA board has left the cash rate on hold at 4.35 per cent.

Albanese increasingly likely to face voters without a rate cut

NAB and RBC Capital Markets now expect the RBA to leave the cash rate on hold until May, after the latest practical date for an election.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read
The path to cutting interest rates is narrowing for Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.

Fed still on track to cut rates in December: CPI view

The three-month annualised rate of consumer prices increased by almost 0.5 percentage point to 3.6pc in October. Economists say the pace won’t derail another rate cut.

  • Timothy Moore
A shopper in New York. “Elevated inflation and rising rates in the United States could negatively affect domestic economic activity,” the Fed noted.

US inflation stays firm for third month with 0.3pc core CPI gain

The figures, along with strong consumer spending and economic growth, will keep Fed officials cautious as they debate how quickly to reduce borrowing costs.

  • Molly Smith
Despite the lift in sentiment, households may need to wait another seven months before receiving mortgage relief.

Consumer confidence hits 2½-year high as rate rise fears ease

Despite the lift in sentiment, households may need to wait another seven months before receiving mortgage relief.

  • Michael Read
Nouriel Roubini sees China as a big risk.

Dr Doom reveals the big risk you’re not thinking enough about

Nouriel Roubini, the economist who called the GFC, sees Donald Trump’s election as a huge moment. But there’s a big risk Australia needs to watch.

  • James Thomson
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has emphatically denied seeking flight upgrades from Qantas. But AFR readers still want it banned.

We all love an upgrade, but MPs need their wings clipped: AFR readers

Readers raised concerns about conflicts of interest, as the scandal engulfing Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and his Qantas perks spread to the Coalition.

  • Hannah Wootton
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There’s a bright side to Trump’s election win – apparently

Readers’ letters on the upsides of Donald Trump’s victory; the danger of inflation for political incumbents; unwelcome American exports; dogs in the office; and the Chemist Warehouse-Sigma merger.

There are a lot of scenarios for investors to consider in Trump’s second presidency.

Top investors share five big ideas for Trump 2.0

As markets struggle to war game a Trump presidency, here are five big ideas that long-term investors can build on.

  • James Thomson
Fed chairman Jerome Powell will face Donald Trump’s inflationary policies just as he starts cutting rates.

Markets celebrate a Trumpian revolution

While investors are rejoicing at the prospect of a business-friendly Trump administration, it will also amplify long-term inflation and asset pricing risks.

  • Christopher Joye
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell has given Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock plenty to think about.

Central banks, traders brush off fears of Trump-led inflation spike

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the US election would not impact Fed policy after it cut rates and flagged more to come.

  • Cecile Lefort

Trump’s win shows voters want lower prices at any cost

The hard truth for Labor is that inflation is kryptonite for centre-left governments, and Anthony Albanese’s record on prices is very similar to Joe Biden’s.

  • Richard Holden

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/topic/inflation-1mph