Opinion
Why inflation will be back, sooner than you think
Central banks cannot be as independent as we like to believe. And they would always rather avoid a recession than avoid inflation.
Kenneth RogoffColumnistListening to central bankers, one would think that the recent bout of high inflation was merely an excusable post-pandemic forecasting error made under extreme uncertainty.
But while this narrative now prevails in markets and the financial press, it presumes a level of central bank independence that is simply unrealistic in today’s volatile economic and political environment.
Project Syndicate
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