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Today

Richard White is the latest Tony Shepherd Orator.

WiseTech’s Richard White not hiding from the headlines

White’s oration will surely be like this year’s Business Council speeches, only if delivered by a man presently trying to bankrupt his alleged ex-lover.

  • 1 hr ago
  • Myriam Robin
Spending and investment is good, but not at the pace it is running at now.

Our one-trick pony economy can’t keep behaving like this

Population, employment, and government spending are growing faster than the economy can absorb. It is the spending that has to give for a while.

  • Tony Shepherd
Westpac estimates state and federal government spending will hit 28 per cent of GDP by the end of 2025, up from the pre-pandemic average of about 22.5 per cent.

IMF puts Chalmers on notice over rates, super tax and spending

In its annual health check of Australia’s economy, the International Monetary Fund said more unexpected expenditure rises will force the RBA to keep rates high.

  • Michael Read

Yesterday

Bourke Street was virtually empty during lockdown in Melbourne in 2020.

Victoria slumps for business, as execs warn: ‘It’s really struggling’

CSL chairman Brian McNamee and former NAB CEO Ross McEwan warn that the state is in financial peril, as new business starts fell behind the rest of the country.

  • Gus McCubbing and Patrick Durkin
The ASX and ASIC have made a synchronised effort to drive away capital and investors.

A narrow window to change the fortunes of the ASX

The cost and regulatory burden of a public listing is driving companies and investors into the arms of private capital. The ASX needs to fix itself.

  • Peter Swan and Dimitri Burshtein
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The controversy about meetings has come at a time when Governor Michele Bullock has improved the bank’s clarity.

RBA should spell out rules on private meetings with market movers

The holding of confidential meetings can backfire when some people think that others are getting advantaged access to the central bank’s thinking.

  • John Kehoe
The RBA may be actively choosing to tolerate hotter inflation to preserve employment.

RBA barred Westpac in third case of briefing leak

A suspected leak of an off-record briefing from Michele Bullock led to the bank being black-listed for 12 months.

  • Mark Di Stefano, John Kehoe and Cecile Lefort

This Month

The central bank could now publish the diaries of deputy and assistant governors - as Ms Bullock already does.

RBA must make rules of engagement explicit

The central bank should keep on talking to bankers, market economists, and politicians. But it needs transparent rules to guide it when it does.

  • The AFR View
Mr Comyn said the serviceability buffer had increased financial stability at a business lunch in Sydney.

CBA’s Comyn backs APRA’s mortgage buffer rules amid intense criticism

The chief executive of the country’s biggest lender said critics – who say the regulations make loans unattainable – were looking for an easy but ineffective fix.

  • Updated
  • Michael Read and Lucas Baird
PayPal is preparing for a values-driven, metaverse-using Gen Z to drive retail from the end of the decade.

Warm weather lifts spending on booze, gardening and camping gear

Retail sales may have finally turned a corner, as unseasonably warm weather pumped up demand for products normally bought in spring.

  • John Kehoe
Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher.

Debt hits seven-year low before decade of deficits

Federal government net debt has fallen to its lowest level since 2017, but economists say the coming decade of deficits will send borrowing levels higher.

  • Michael Read
Assistant RBA governor Christopher Kent and governor Michele Bullock. It is important for the RBA to be able to get different perspectives and talk privately with people outside the bank.

Don’t turn the RBA’s private talks into a fishbowl

Not allowing the central bank to test its thinking with people in financial markets will leave us with much less well-informed monetary policy decision-makers and, thus, worse monetary policy decisions.

  • John Simon
Assistant RBA governor Christopher Kent and the central bank’s governor, Michele Bullock, at a parliamentary hearing in June.

RBA gives RBC Capital Markets private briefing, bars bank after leak

The incident is the second off-the-record discussion between the central bank and traders that has been made public. It was held after a February rate decision.

  • Mark Di Stefano and John Kehoe

September

Treasurer Jim Chalmers delivering his third budget in May this year.

Our fiscal strategy strikes the right balance

We are repairing the budget without hurting an already weak economy, putting people under more pressure or ignoring urgent and unavoidable spending.

  • Jim Chalmers
Treasurer Jim Chalmers speaking about the budget surplus on Monday.

Why budget surplus is up, up, up

Jim Chalmers is claiming credit for delivering two budget surpluses in a row. He’s less keen to explain how much the high level of income tax helped.

  • Jennifer Hewett
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Treasurer Jim Chalmers has rebuffed calls to ease mortgage lending laws after Coalition MPs and ANZ warned prospective homebuyers were struggling to get finance.

Lending laws locking out home buyers: Bendigo bank

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has rebuffed calls to ease mortgage lending laws after Coalition MPs and ANZ warned prospective home buyers were struggling to get finance.

  • Michael Read and Lucas Baird
Treasurer Jim Chalmers during a press conference on Monday.

Spending pressures make third surplus unlikely

The treasurer has delivered a solid second budget surplus of $15.8 billion on the back of booming income tax receipts, but future spending pressures are emerging.

  • John Kehoe
Property prices and credit growth have remained very resilient in the face of higher rates.

Why the strong housing market is still a problem for the RBA

Booming credit demand from wealthier borrowers is more proof that housing is still humming along. That could crimp the RBA’s ability to cut.

  • James Thomson
Treasurer Jim Chalmers during a press conference on Monday.

Income tax hits 25-year high in Chalmers’ surplus

The treasurer’s second budget in the black has been underwritten by the highest share of wages taxation since before the GST was introduced in 2000.

  • John Kehoe and Michael Read
Shadow treasurer Angus Taylor and Liberal parliamentarians Andrew Bragg, Keith Wolahan, Maria Kovacic, Jenny Ware and Aaron Violi

Own home becoming ‘just for rich’: Coalition weighs lending overhaul

Housing has become a key battleground for the major parties, as record prices and high interest rates combine to significantly reduce affordability.

  • Michael Read

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy