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Warren Hogan

The markets have got it wrong (again) on rate cuts

Bond traders are fully priced for some relief by April 2025 thanks to a couple of surprising data points. But it’s always the coldest just before sunrise.

Once again, the markets have it wrong.

I spent 20 years in the bond market and learnt that this is a very dangerous statement. But the last two years have repeatedly demonstrated that interest rate markets just don’t “get it”.

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Warren Hogan is managing director of  EQ Economics.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/the-markets-have-got-it-wrong-again-on-rate-cuts-20241208-p5kwo3