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Traders dial up bets for February RBA rate cut

Optimism in money markets is growing for the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut interest rates at its first board meeting of 2025, as traders reassess their global rate outlook.

The Australian three-year bond yield fell 5 basis points overnight to 3.9 per cent as bond traders dialled up their rate cut bets. Markets are now pricing in a 62 per cent chance of a rate cut in February from 55 per cent a day earlier. They are fully priced for a reduction in April.

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Cecile Lefort is a markets reporter based in the Sydney newsroom. Email Cecile at cecile.lefort@afr.com
Sarah Jones is the markets editor at The Australian Financial Review. She is based in the Sydney newsroom. Connect with Sarah on Twitter. Email Sarah at sa.jones@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/markets-increase-bets-for-a-february-rate-cut-from-rba-20241219-p5kzqc