December 2024
Traders dial up bets for February RBA rate cut
Money markets are slowly dialling up expectations for an early cut from the Reserve Bank in 2025. It’s a different story for New Zealand, which is now in a recession.
- Updated
- Cecile Lefort and Sarah Jones
November 2024
Here’s what the RBA might do after RBNZ’s latest cut
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its benchmark to 4.25 per cent, bringing it under the Australian rate for the first time in a decade.
- Updated
- Cecile Lefort
Inflation holds at 2.1pc; Biden confirms ceasefire; 15 ASX tech stars
Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.
ASX to rise as bitcoin nears $US100,000 for the first time
The S&P/ASX 200 Index will extend a record run following Donald Trump’s appointment of crypto enthusiast Scott Bessent as US Treasury secretary over the weekend.
- Updated
- Cecile Lefort
Who is the most aggressive rate-cutter in the world?
Traders give a one-in-five chance the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will slash rates by a hefty 0.75 percentage points next week due to a worsening economy.
- Updated
- Cecile Lefort
October 2024
Australia’s world-beating jobs market to keep interest rates high
Economists say Australia has one of the strongest jobs markets in the world after employment growth hit a 16-month high.
- Updated
- Michael Read
New Zealand tipped to slash rates the most since COVID-19
More economists are calling for the cash rate to be cut by 0.75 percentage points next month to stop the rapid economic slowdown.
- Cecile Lefort
Markets bet on drastic cuts after NZ slashes rates
The kiwi hit a seven-week low after New Zealand’s jumbo rate cut, but Citi is tipping the RBNZ could go another 75 basis points next month to arrest slowing growth.
- Cecile Lefort
August 2024
NZ gloom weighs on ASX-listed companies
Earnings season has revealed how tough conditions are in New Zealand. The question is what that means for Australia.
- Jemima Whyte
- Opinion
- Sharemarket
Resilient corporate profits are masking the ASX’s shaky foundations
Earnings season reveals local groups are performing better than expected. Weakness in China and a fall in Commonwealth Bank’s share price could undo the gains.
- Jonathan Shapiro
New Zealand cuts rates in a rapid change of tune
The RBNZ’s pivot to easing is a dramatic shift after it said in May it considered raising rates and wouldn’t cut them until the second half of 2025.
- Updated
- Tracy Withers
Rapid rate cuts expected in New Zealand as economy teeters
The kiwi tumbles against both Australian and US dollar after the NZ Reserve Bank cut rates and tips the economy will fall back into recession in 2024.
- Cecile Lefort
CBA breaks from the pack; ASIC sues ASX Ltd; AGL profits surge
Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.
ASX to rise as earning season sheds light on health of economy
Traders will also look at unemployment figures to be released this week as an indicator of whether the Reserve Bank is preparing to cut – or raise – rates.
- Cecile Lefort
RBA to hold rates steady as inflation gets closer to target
The central bank is expected to oversee a “straightforward” meeting this week, after last week’s inflation result took the heat out of tightening fears.
- Joshua Peach
July 2024
New Zealand inflation slows to three-year low
Three of the country’s main banks brought forward forecasts for RBNZ rate cuts after the inflation report.
- Matthew Brockett
Bond market dials up US rate cut bets; RBA left behind
Goldman Sachs says there is now “solid rationale” for the Federal Reserve to start cutting rates this month. It’s a different picture in Australia, where markets are still pricing in a rate rise.
- Sarah Jones
New Zealand eyes August rate cut after ‘dovish pivot’
Market pundits have ramped up bets that the RBNZ may cut interest rates as soon as next month after the central bank said it was confident that inflation will return to target.
- Sarah Jones
Wall Street’s big run; Incitec dumps sale talks; Inside Biden’s fight
Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.
June 2024
New Zealand shakes off recession but no relief yet
Gross domestic product gained 0.2 per cent from the previous quarter, when it declined 0.1 per cent, Statistics New Zealand said on Thursday.
- Updated
- Tracy Withers