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Christopher Joye

Markets bet on little interest rate relief

Investors are betting the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate will peak at 3.5 per cent, but are not pricing in much in the way of future cuts.

Christopher JoyeColumnist

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At its last board meeting in December, the Reserve Bank of Australia put a new monetary policy alternative on the table for the first time this cycle: the option to pause its ultra-aggressive interest rate increases, which had hammered businesses and households with an unprecedented 300 basis points of borrowing rate rises in seven months.

This was, in fact, one of three possibilities canvassed by Martin Place’s economists. “The board considered several options for the cash rate decision at the December meeting: a 50 basis point increase; a 25 basis point increase; or no change in the cash rate,” the subsequently published minutes relayed.

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Christopher Joye is a portfolio manager with Coolabah Capital, which invests in securities, including those discussed in his column. Connect with Christopher on Twitter.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/wealth/personal-finance/markets-bet-on-little-interest-rate-relief-20230118-p5cdk2