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Wage growth

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NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey

Wages blowout adds $800m to NSW deficit

NSW Labor wants to fight on fiscal restraint, but abandoning the wages cap and spiralling workers’ compensation costs are making its jobs harder.

This Month

Worker paid for three years after they quit in $295k payroll blunder

In a scathing report on public service accounting errors, the NSW Audit Office found that one agency kept paying 481 people after their employment ended.

Several banks have announced job cuts in recent weeks.

More inflation pressure as public sector wages outpace private

Despite flat wages growth in September, the RBA say that Australia’s productivity slump is pushing up labour costs and adding to inflationary pressures.

Paul Keating was speaking with John Laws when the then treasurer delivered his infamous “banana republic” warning.

Like Keating, Chalmers should use economic reality as impetus for reform

The warning delivered by then secretary to the Treasury John Stone in 1984 is an eerie experience. Forty years on, we face so many of the same challenges.

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey delivers the 2025/26 NSW State Budget in the Legislative Assembly.

NSW dropping public sector pay cap adds budget pressure, warn experts

NSW has maintained its AA+ credit rating but above-inflation public sector wage increases are making fiscal restraint difficult

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Public sector pay is up

Public sector wages bill tops $250b as consultants get the chop

Commonwealth public servants collectively took home 9.5 per cent more in 2024-25, while state employees got an extra 7.3 per cent, adding to debt concerns

RBA governor Michele Bullock doesn’t want to provide forward guidance, but comments on jobs and inflation suggest rates will be higher for longer.

Why the RBA is on alert but not alarmed about its big inflation miss

The Reserve Bank won’t be cutting interest rates any time soon after one of its worst forecasting errors on inflation since the 1990s.

The budget’s forecast for public sector wages could be revised upward as departments cut costs elsewhere to make up for higher pay for public servants.

$841m public sector wage blowout to test APS spending limits

The public sector wage blowout is adding pressure to departmental budgets, prompting warnings that budget spending allowances may need to be adjusted.

October

The government wants to increase supply of low- and mid-rise housing in Sydney and surrounding regions.

Dense cities boost pay, but will we need homes on the fringe too?

Assistant Treasury Minister Andrew Leigh spruiks denser cities, but the Urban Development Institute fears infill focus is slowing progress on housing targets.

RBA chief economist Sarah Hunter said that because of struggling productivity growth, the economy can sustain a lower level of wages growth.

RBA says Australians will have to accept lower wages growth

Chief economist Sarah Hunter says lagging productivity means wages could only sustainably rise at 3.2 per cent a year on average across the economy.

The strike threat comes as the Reserve Bank and Treasury have asked for powers to take over Armaguard if it is at risk of failing.

Cash crunch threat as Armaguard workers move to strike

The supply of cash across the east coast could come under threat as workers for the monopoly cash distributor consider strike action over wage freezes.

September

Josh Lefers at his bar, Ballers Clubhouse in Melbourne, Victoria.

‘Another blow’: Rising labour costs squeeze firms, curb rate cuts

Business owners like Josh Lefers have been forced to pass on higher staff costs to customers, fuelling inflation and putting the RBA on high alert.

Wages growth has now caught up to inflation, but many workers’ pay packets are not reflecting this.

Wages rise faster than business profits under Labor

Employees pocketed about $28 billion in extra pay at the expense of companies over the past year, due to a tight labour market and worker-friendly policies.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the recovery in real incomes proves the worst of cost of living pressures is in the past, but economists expect growth will come to a crawl.

Productivity or bust: Living standards ‘won’t recover until 2037’

The treasurer says the recovery in real incomes proves the worst of cost-of-living pressures is in the past, but economists expect growth to return to a crawl.

August

Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

Chalmers faces $40b budget hit from weaker productivity

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has overestimated the economy’s speed limit, as stagnant productivity threatens to punch a hole in tax revenue, economists say.

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Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock says there is still plenty of uncertainty around the Australian economy.

Wage growth holds steady as RBA warns of pay crunch

The central bank has warned that pay rises will shrink as flatlining productivity weighs on living standards.

July

Australia’s CEOs are hunting for ways to cut costs as margins come under pressure from higher wages.

Mass US job cuts could come to the ASX, especially these 20 firms

Bosses in America are already making a virtue of shrinking their workforces. Is that trend just weeks away from hitting Australia?

BHP has lost its landmark challenge to union “same job, same pay” claims for thousands of its in-house labour hire workers, in a decision the union says will cost the mining giant tens of millions of dollars a year.

Warning: Centralised wage-fixing in Australia has returned

The Fair Work Commission’s ruling on BHP’s “same job, same pay” case is a reversal of the Keating model, which led to enterprise autonomy and collaboration.

June

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey is handing down the state budget.

NSW budget shows $3.4b deficit, offers housing guarantee

NSW opposition doubts Treasurer Daniel Mookhey’s two-year path to surplus and labels its housing policy a “drop in the ocean”.

The ACTU is pushing for more loading for casual workers such as bar staff.

The surprise pay rise tucked away in minimum wage ruling

Employer groups have reacted with alarm to the Fair Work Commission’s proposal, which was buried inside the 63-page minimum wage decision.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/topic/wage-growth-1mo4