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Government debt

This Month

Markets are pricing in slightly more than three RBA rate cuts this year, which would bring the total in 2025 to four.

Plenty of reasons why rates will remain higher in the long run

Politicians around the world have a habit of running big budget deficits to spend money on voters today by borrowing money from voters in the future.

President Donald Trump signs his signature bill into law.

Trump signs tax and spending cut bill at White House picnic

Flanked by Republican legislators and members of his cabinet, the US president signed his multitrillion-dollar legislation into law.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers is under pressure to find solutions to a budget deficit at the upcoming productivity roundtable.

Federal borrowing to top states as $1 trillion debt milestone looms

The federal government will borrow more money than the states this year for the first time since the pandemic, heaping more pressure on Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

 President Donald Trump speaks to the media before walking across the South Lawn of the White House to board Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md., and on to Florida, Tuesday, July 1, 2025, in Washington.

The US ‘debt bomb’ that Musk and Dalio fear just got bigger

The Tesla chief and the president are feuding again as Donald Trump’s big tax and spending bill gets closer to passing.

Given how blatantly the upward redistribution breaks Donald Trump’s campaign vows, his party will pay a price at the polling booth.

‘Rob the poor to pay the rich’: Trump’s big, beautiful act of self-harm

Many Republicans could lose their seats in Congress as a result of the president’s “reverse Robin Hood” budget. The economics is terrible for everyone.

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Will Trump and the Fed add up to a train wreck?

The administration is exacerbating the problems left over from the pandemic, risking inflation and recession.

June

A jogger passes Melbourne’s CBD. Victoria is one of the most indebted states in the country, a situation that will worsen, S&P warns.

Stop blaming pandemic for state government debt binge: S&P Global

The high-profile credit ratings agency warns that infrastructure spending and more handouts are causing a significant deterioration in finances.

The budget is running $15 billion ahead of forecast thanks to a stronger-than-expected company tax take, but economists expect deficits from hereon in.

Chalmers closes in on shock third budget surplus

The budget is running $15 billion ahead of forecast thanks to a stronger-than-expected company tax take, but economists expect deficits from now on.

State debt has increased 150 per cent since 2019 to $661 billion, prompting warnings from credit ratings agencies and calls by economists for premiers to rein in spending,

State debt to top $900b, triple pre-pandemic levels

The gross debt of state governments has increased by 150 per cent since 2019 to $661 billion, prompting calls by economists for premiers to rein in spending.

Donald Trump is casting a big shadow over Jerome Powell’s final year as Fed chair.

Trump’s next fight is the one that could really shake markets

The battle over who should be the next US Federal Reserve chairman is part of a problem that just won’t go away: the American debt crisis.

NSW treasurer Daniel Mookhey behind premier Chris Minns on Monday ahead of budget

NSW Labor claims $400m dividend from cutting debt

Treasurer Daniel Mookhey says state debt has stabilised as he prepares to hand down a budget on Tuesday that shows gross debt will reach $178.8 billion by June 2026.

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey in his office at the NSW Parliament ahead of the 2025 State Budget.

NSW treasurer promises quicker approvals, more growth in budget

Daniel Mookhey is set to deliver NSW Labor’s third budget with a commitment to tackling the problem of low growth.

Shadow treasurer Ted O’Brien.

O’Brien plans tax review, stands by nuclear power

The federal shadow treasurer has committed to developing a taxation policy that leaves more money in the pockets of Australians.

Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s bromance looks to be over.

Trump’s ‘one big beautiful bill’ is a danger to Australia

The budget is yet another tool to beat trade partners into submission. It threatens our companies, superannuation industry and sovereignty.

Elon Musk jumps on stage as Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania last October.

The One Big Beautiful Bill that split Trump and Musk

Elon Musk has finally discovered what the rest of us have known for a while: the Republicans no longer care about fiscal responsibility.

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Donald Trump and Elon Musk.

‘A disgusting abomination’: Musk blasts Trump tax bill

The billionaire said that Republicans who voted for what he called the “massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending” proposal should be ashamed.

May

The Miami skyline. Florida has become a magnet for capital and people because of economic performance.

A complacent Wonder Down Under is heading for a productivity fail

Crazy levels of government spending, and Victoria’s status as one of the most indebted states in the world, helps explain Australia’s miserable performance.

Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan and Treasurer Jaclyn Symes earlier this month. Despite steep deficits, investors shrugged at last week’s Victorian budget.

Investors shrug at Victorian debt bomb in search for new safe haven

For all the talk about the age of market vigilantism and deteriorating public balance sheets, there’s no lack of interest in Australian state government bonds.

While red inks spreads from Washington, Donald Trump is unleashing a wild west for cryptocurrency, AI, and to some extent banking.

Beware the rising ‘moron premium’ on US bonds

In one way, Donald Trump is like Republican predecessors – he believes in tax cuts. What is novel is the foreboding he creates about faith in America’s credit.

Victorian Treasurer Jaclyn Symes and Premier Jacinta Allan.

Numbers Victoria is relying on to kill debt are at odds with the RBA

Official federal estimates don’t support the population growth that Treasurer Jaclyn Symes says will drag the state out of debt.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/topic/government-debt-1nms