Treasurer v the RBA: Why Chalmers and Bullock are both right
Jim Chalmers says the economy is getting smashed by high interest, but it’s still running too hot for Michele Bullock’s central bank. The answer is simple: productivity.
How can the economy be “especially weak” as Jim Chalmers says but also too hot as Michele Bullock worries? Answer: it’s the supply side, stupid.
With productivity stalled, the economy just can’t grow any faster than the dawdle rate of the past year without risking more inflation.
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Michael Stutchbury is editor-at-large. He is in his fourth decade of writing for and editing national newspapers. After nearly six years as editor of The Australian, he returned to the Financial Review as editor-in-chief (2011-2024). Email Michael at mstutchbury@afr.com