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The RBA’s balance sheet could take until 2040s to heal

A single decision by the treasurer to restore the central bank’s capital would ensure the RBA is truly a bank “fit for the future”.

Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers deserves credit for the way he handled the Reserve Bank review and its aftermath. He commissioned a rigorous, independent inquiry into one of Australia’s cornerstone institutions, accepted its key recommendations, and then did the hard political work of steering the necessary legislation through parliament. It was governance done properly – consultative, evidence-based and forward-looking.

But one important piece of unfinished business remains. The Reserve Bank’s balance sheet, more than three years on from the COVID-19 pandemic, is still in negative equity. This balance sheet problem is a legacy of the pandemic-era bond-buying program and the Term Funding Facility (TFF). They were necessary and largely unavoidable policy responses to the crisis as it was unfolding.

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is a former Treasury and OECD official and director of Outlook Economics.
is Director of the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis in the ANU Crawford School of Public Policy and Director of Policy Engagement in the ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Aging Research (CEPAR). Connect with Warwick on Twitter.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/the-rba-s-balance-sheet-could-take-until-2040s-to-heal-20251104-p5n7ml