Persistently high inflation, bubbling wage pressures, weak productivity growth and stimulus from income tax cuts mean borrowers may have to wait another year for the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut the cash rate.
A handful of analysts is pushing back on expectations among traders and economists that the RBA will lower rates this year, and instead predicts the central bank could be forced to extend its tightening cycle into 2025 due to persistently high inflation.
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Michael Read is the Financial Review's economics correspondent, reporting from the federal press gallery at Parliament House. He was previously an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia and at UBS. Connect with Michael on Twitter. Email Michael at michael.read@afr.com