Annual inflation cooled to a two-year low of 4.1 per cent, raising investor bets for two interest rate cuts by December, pushing the sharemarket to a record and increasing hopes for a soft landing.
Money market traders are now fully pricing the first 0.25 of a percentage point cut to the 4.35 per cent cash rate in August, from September before the inflation data. A second rate cut is fully factored in by December.
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John Kehoe is economics editor at Parliament House, Canberra. He writes on economics, politics and business. John was Washington correspondent covering Donald Trump’s first election. He joined the Financial Review in 2008 from Treasury. Connect with John on Twitter. Email John at jkehoe@afr.com
