October 2024
Harris challenges ‘weak and unstable’ Trump to fitness test, interview
The vice president’s attack marked an attempt to turn the tables on Trump, who for months had suggested that Joe Biden was too old to be president.
- Nicholas Nehamas and Maya King
September 2023
The power of data: Why polling is more accurate since Brexit and Trump
Pollsters were wrong about our federal election, Britain leaving the EU and Donald Trump’s victory. But if you don’t trust such survey results, think again.
- Samantha Hutchinson
Falling Voice support might already be fatal: pollsters
Just 35 days out from the vote, polling industry figures have expressed confidence about the methodology being used to track sentiment on the referendum.
- Tom McIlroy
March 2023
- Exclusive
- Courts
Political adviser accuses former staffer of stealing data
Crosby Textor Group has made allegations about Freshwater’s work for former UK leader Liz Truss, and it’s playing out in the NSW Supreme Court.
- Max Mason
January 2023
- Opinion
- China relations
Wine and barley are the best tests of the thaw with Beijing
There is now political will to end the trade stand-off between China and Australia. An anti-dumping settlement at the WTO would be a face-saving route for both.
- Gary Sampson
- Opinion
- Productivity
We must make this the year of productivity
The ACTU must realise that many of the proposals in a major new Productivity Commission report will align with its own goals.
- Craig Emerson
December 2022
Voters choose Labor on the issues that matter
Labor leads the Coalition in key areas of voter concern and is level pegging with the Liberals as an economic manager.
- Phillip Coorey
Voters want price caps and more gas extracted: new poll
The Albanese government is consolidating power and is preferred by voters to manage all 14 major policy areas of concern, except defence and national security.
- Phillip Coorey
- Opinion
- The AFR View
Labor in office proves not so business-friendly
The hopes that business may have held in May are now receding as Labor’s true spots emerge in the critical areas of workplace regulation and Australia’s net zero carbon transition.
- The AFR View
June 2022
How can the big parties win in 2025?
While Labor won power with party preferences last month, it’s hard to see how either Labor or the Coalition can win a Parliamentary majority at the 2025 election.
- John Black
May 2022
- Explainer
- Federal election
Who’ll win according to the polls (and can you trust them)?
Pollsters have improved their survey techniques since their calamitous 2019 predictions. But experts say it won’t be clear until Sunday if they’ve got it right.
- Hannah Wootton
April 2022
- Opinion
- Federal election
ALP still leads, but it’s getting tighter
Despite the self-inflicted wounds, Labor remains in front in a majority of seats. But with four weeks to go, Anthony Albanese certainly isn’t kicking with the wind.
- John Black
- Opinion
- The AFR View
The small target is not impressing swinging voters
Given a choice of two underwhelming leaders, undecided voters seem inclined to stick with the devil that they know.
- The AFR View
July 2021
Berejiklian beats PM in poll – but Chant is the real winner
A new survey of NSW voters shows Scott Morrison bears the lockdown brunt as voters favour Premier Gladys Berejiklian. But they’re both beaten by Dr Kerry Chant.
- Phillip Coorey
December 2020
Liberals are streets ahead of Labor in the suburbs: poll
Labor is struggling to gain traction with key suburban voters, with just one in three prepared to put the party first if an election was held today.
- Phillip Coorey
November 2020
Surveying too many Labor voters led to election polling 'fail'
Pollsters needs to adjust their methodology to gauge the views of less politically-engaged voters, industry report finds.
- Andrew Tillett
October 2020
Half of Aussies can't identify a positive political moment in 2020
A new poll shows Australians rate the response to the COVID-19 pandemic as a leading political achievement, but political engagement remains discouragingly low.
- Tom McIlroy
March 2020
- Exclusive
- Coronavirus pandemic
More than one-third change travel plans due to virus: poll
Almost every voter is aware of the cornonavirus, the vast majority believe it will hurt the economy, and more than a third say it will affect travel plans,
- Phillip Coorey
December 2019
Australian conservatives more like Hillary than Trump
The majority of Coalition supporters are ideologically closer to Hillary Clinton supporters than Donald Trump backers, a new study has found.
- Bo Seo
October 2019
Why the 'quiet Australians' back free trade
Support for free trade among Australians remains robust across income, education, and rural-urban divides, according to two long-standing opinion studies.
- Bo Seo