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Christopher Joye

The Fed’s humiliating reversal is toxic for stocks

The US central bank’s belated acknowledgement of re-accelerating inflation and the risks flowing from Donald Trump’s policies could trigger a sustained market downturn.

There is very bad news for risky assets in the humiliating policy reversal that a politically compromised US Federal Reserve has had to effect since the November presidential election.

And the clear signal is in the savage price action: the S&P500 Index slumped more than 3 per cent after the Fed’s decision to significantly raise its inflation forecasts, increase its estimate of the so-called neutral (or normal) interest rate, slash by half the number of cuts pencilled in for next year, and its about-face that the balance of inflation risks now lies to the high, rather than the low, side.

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Christopher Joye is a portfolio manager with Coolabah Capital, which invests in securities, including those discussed in his column. Connect with Christopher on Twitter.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/the-federal-reserve-s-hawkish-pivot-is-toxic-for-stocks-20241220-p5kzvv