September 2024
- Opinion
- Interest rates
There’s a straightforward way to clear RBA board logjam
An alternative structure for the new monetary-policy-setting board could satisfy Labor and the concerns of the Coalition and former governors.
July 2024
- Opinion
- Interest rates
Reserve Bank’s path to a soft landing is very narrow indeed
Further rate rises would make it harder for the RBA to achieve the trifecta of a small rise in spare labour, with employment still increasing and inflation back at target.
May 2024
- Opinion
- Federal budget
We need to prepare in good times for the next big shock. These are the good times
We are a long way from even a balanced budget. If we are going to have a fiscal war chest for the next big shock, we need to prepare now.
- Updated
March 2024
- Opinion
- Investing
Want better returns? Cut back on shares, bonds
University endowments and the Future Fund indicate that long-term bets on private equity and other unlisted assets produce better returns.
February 2024
- Opinion
- Inflation
The evidence is that immaculate disinflation is unlikely in Australia
Economic conditions indicate the cash rate has not been high enough, increasing the risk inflation will persist, and this means it will take longer before the RBA can cut rates.
August 2023
- Opinion
- Monetary policy
How to vaccinate the RBA against groupthink
The Reserve Bank’s new monetary policy committee should operate like the diverse body of health experts that approved the COVID-19 vaccines.
April 2023
- Opinion
- Monetary policy
Australia’s central bank gets a new culture of debate
A panel of experts at the very pinnacle of the RBA will lift the standards expected in the bank’s internal analysis.
- Opinion
- RBA
RBA needs more data and more debate
Monetary policy is as much an art as it is science. But it needs deeper research and the broadest possible debate if it is to work well.
March 2023
- Opinion
- Monetary policy
Global experience says a two-tiered RBA board is better
The Reserve Bank needs inside experts to decide monetary policy and well-credentialed outsiders to help supervise a very complex organisation.