Although sanctioned and isolated, Vladimir Putin cannot afford to back down. So expect an escalation in cyberattacks, disinformation, and nuclear threats to combat the pressure on Western support for Ukraine.
In January, British officials announced that they had uncovered a dramatic cyberattack on the UK postal service, which caused “severe disruption” to the computer systems that send mail abroad. They quickly blamed Russian hackers, who appeared to act with permission from, if not at the direction of, the Russian government.
This month, after a UK derivatives trading operator was hacked, cybersecurity agencies in France and Italy reported a ransomware attack on thousands of computer systems in those countries plus the US and Canada.
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Ian Bremmer is the president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media.
