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Foreign Affairs & Security

Today

Donald Trump v Jerome Powell and the world.

Trump would love to target the Federal Reserve as well as Iran

The president sounds as angry with Jerome Powell as with Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. But what he decides to do about Iran will come much sooner than a Fed rate cut.

Yesterday

US President Donald Trump with Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney (left) and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

Australia’s trade survival depends on beating Trump’s tariff contagion

How does Canberra cope in a world that threatens to spin off into competing blocs and help shape a world that preserves multilateralism, even if the United States is not a constructive part of it?

This Month

President Donald Trump heads from Marine One to Air Force One en route to the G7 Summit in Canada.

Storm clouds gather over G7

The intensifying conflict in the Middle East will dominate an agenda that was supposed to focus on trade and support for Ukraine.

Anthony Albanese’s election win and Donald Trump putting the brakes on his tariff decisions have consumers feeling a lot better.

Trust in US craters as Trump upends global order

The US president’s radical international agenda is undermining Australians’ trust in one of their most reliable allies.

Not afraid. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer raise a glass while watching Edmonton and Florida play an ice hockey match in a bar in Edmonton.

G7 leaders aim to show they’re not intimidated by Trump

Many world leaders see fewer reasons to be cowed by the US President, even as they recognise the risks if he follows through on his threats.

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The glaring flaw in AUKUS that even America’s top defence official knows

It’s virtually certain the review will conclude the agreement should not proceed unless Australia publicly commits to “do its part for the collective defence”.

One should expect a tit-for-tat series of engagements between Israel and Iran that could be periodic drivers of bouts of market volatility.

The Iran-Israel conflict will be long and hit fragile confidence

The heightened global uncertainty wrought by the outbreak of war between the two countries only reinforces the likelihood the RBA will continue to cut rates.

Donald Trump says he has a “deal” with Xi Jinping. But what Trump calls a “deal” is invariably just a way station to the next fight.

Trump’s ‘deal’ with China is just a waypoint to the next fight

Donald Trump behaves as though he has an unfettered ability to dictate terms to foreign countries, but that doesn’t work when you are so reliant on a single supplier.

Lula da Silva and Xi Jinping in Brazil

Why Brazil is too big and too important for Australia to ignore

Amid a shifting global order, expanding international ambitions and a tricky domestic balancing act, Brazil could have a greater impact on Australia than many realise.

Australia’s move to acquire Virginia-class submarines is under threat with the US’s AUKUS review.

G7 Summit will be a test of Albanese’s diplomatic skill

Foreign policy and trade aren’t the prime minister’s strong suit, and he has also appeared flat-footed on key defence issues

Anthony Albanese

How do we put Australia first in Trump’s AUKUS review?

When the review comes out, the fact that it exists and may not be the last should show us that while America is our partner, we have to be able to do more for ourselves.

USS Minnesota (SSN-783) Virginia-class fast attack submarine off the WA Coast, where it has been based for the past month.

‘Beijing would rejoice’: AUKUS in jeopardy as US reviews its role

Defence Minister Richard Marles downplayed a US review into AUKUS which threatens Australia’s $300 billion-plus plans to build and acquire nuclear submarines.

Austal chairman Richard Spencer.

Shipbuilder Austal’s Korean suitor clears key hurdle for bid

Hanwha has received approval from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) to go to 19.99 per cent or even 100 per cent of Austal.

Santiago Chile

Australia and Chile have more in common than you probably think

The two countries have many similarities as mining-based economies dependent on China as their major trading partner. But the relationship goes deeper.

Australia’s Defense Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles talks to the media during an interview in the 22nd Shangri-La Dialogue summit in Singapore.

Beijing lashes Australia over ‘China threat’ meeting with allies

China has condemned Australia and its allies for stoking regional tensions.

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Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Richard Marles attends a meeting with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, not pictured, at the Pentagon, Friday, Feb. 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta)

Why Trump demands more from Australia’s defence budget

Increasing Australia’s defence budget to 3 per cent of gross domestic product would be acting in our own interests.

Canberra’s addiction to consultants is as healthy as ever.

DFAT offers easiest management consulting gig yet

A US firm is so confident of getting the contract, they advertised for staff before the tender process even closed.

President Donald Trump speaking at US Steel Corporation’s Mon Valley Works-Irvin plant on Friday in Pennsylvania.

Trump tests the world’s nervous system – again

The president’s fury at being mockingly labelled TACO on tariffs may be enough to ensure that he proceeds on schedule.

Trump is Tariff Man, but he may be reduced to imposing them on sectors rather than countries.

Will Albanese stand up to Trump on trade and defence?

If played carefully, the US will have to accept Canberra can’t be kicked around, if for no other reason than they need the military bases on Australian soil.

Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles and US Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth in Singapore.

The burning questions Hegseth left unanswered on the China challenge

The US defence secretary’s speech has helped to address, but will not silence, lingering questions about the Trump administration’s commitment to Asia.

May

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese arrives in Jakarta on Wednesday night. He will travel to Rome on Friday.

The Russians are not coming to Indonesia

At no time did any of our national leaders consider how preposterous was the suggestion that Indonesia might let Russia base long-range bombers in West Papua.

Perhaps worse for Putin, he now looks even smaller and more cowardly than he has throughout the war.

Putin no show is playing Russian roulette with Trump

The Kremlin leader is not the master chess player that his propaganda portrays him as. He’s made many strategic errors in this war, and this may be his biggest.

President Donald Trump and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

Trump goes for gold in the Middle East

The US president’s visit to the region is focused on the money that’s on offer. Israel and Gaza are not part of the equation for instant returns.

US Trade and Manufacturing advisor Peter Navarro’s mega-protectionism notably led Tesla billionaire Elon Musk to deride him as “dumber than a sack of bricks”.

China is beating Trump in the trade war

The reality is that the trade truce marks the end of the opening skirmish of the new cold war between the world’s two superpowers.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs