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John Kehoe

Jobs boom puts election rate cut on a knife edge

The stunning employment surge makes a pre-election rate cut less assured than the Albanese government would be hoping.

John KehoeEconomics editor

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The stunning jobs surge over recent months means the Reserve Bank of Australia will not be inclined to rush to lower interest rates in February, and makes a pre-election rate cut less likely than the Albanese government would be hoping.

Governor Michele Bullock and the soon-to-change central bank board can afford to sit pat early in the new year to see how the domestic economy evolves over coming months, and assess the early moves of a likely inflationary US president Donald Trump.

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John Kehoe is economics editor at Parliament House, Canberra. He writes on economics, politics and business. John was Washington correspondent covering Donald Trump’s first election. He joined the Financial Review in 2008 from Treasury. Connect with John on Twitter. Email John at jkehoe@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/jobs-boom-puts-election-rate-cut-on-a-knife-edge-20250116-p5l4uw