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Fear of a ‘Trumpcession’ is growing. Here’s why

Cecile Lefort

Fears of a rapid downturn in the world’s largest economy – a so-called “Trumpcession” – are starting to permeate financial markets amid concerns about the fallout from US President Donald Trump’s hefty trade tariffs and slashing of government spending.

After a slew of weaker economic data out of the United States, Bank of America’s real-time GDP tracker shows the US economy is shrinking fast, with the measure falling to 1.7 per cent this quarter, from 2.3 per cent in the previous three-month period.

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Cecile Lefort is a markets reporter based in the Sydney newsroom. Email Cecile at cecile.lefort@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/why-the-prospect-of-a-trumpcession-is-starting-to-grow-20250307-p5lhq1