Of all NSW's marginal seats, the one to watch most closely on Saturday night is Tweed. It is the Coalition's sixth most marginal seat, and if Premier Gladys Berejiklian loses six seats, she loses her majority.
Tweed is held on a margin of 3.2 per cent and, if it were to fall, with the five other most marginal seats, forming government would come down to negotiating with independents.
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Tim Boyd is a journalist, based in Sydney, who writes for the Street Talk column. Connect with Tim on Twitter. Email Tim at tim.boyd@afr.com