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RBA tipped to keep rates on hold, despite high inflation

Michael Read

An acceleration in services inflation and the lowest unemployment rate in almost 50 years are unlikely to force the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates on Tuesday and economists tip the cash rate to remain on hold amid signs households are cutting back.

Twenty-one of the 30 economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the RBA to keep the cash rate unchanged at 3.6 per cent at Tuesday’s board meeting, while the other nine forecast a 0.25 percentage point rate rise. Markets are pricing almost no chance of an increase.

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Michael Read is the Financial Review's economics correspondent, reporting from the federal press gallery at Parliament House. He was previously an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia and at UBS. Connect with Michael on Twitter. Email Michael at michael.read@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/rba-tipped-to-keep-rates-on-hold-despite-high-inflation-20230430-p5d4d9