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Why a disinflationary boom may be upon us

While a soft economic landing is the most likely outcome, it’s hard to ignore the possibility a lower rate of price growth could be setting the sharemarket up for a strong rally.

Sebastian Mullins

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Alan Greenspan famously coined the phrase “irrational exuberance” when discussing the sharemarket in December 1996 – the midpoint of his storied tenure as US Federal Reserve chairman.

The S&P 500 would go on to double before peaking in 2000 when unprofitable internet companies finally came crashing back down to earth. But was Greenspan premature in calling the market irrational?

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/why-a-disinflationary-boom-may-be-upon-us-20240216-p5f5m0