Opinion
Hopes for a soft landing remain heroic
Government spending crowding out private sector activity means that inflation and interest rates are likely to remain high.
Christopher JoyeColumnistFor all the hyperbolic talk of rate cuts, there has been a massive recent increase in long-term interest rates as markets adjust to the reality that the inflation genie may not yet be firmly planted back in its bottle.
In the US, the benchmark risk-free interest rate, the 10-year government bond yield, has surged from as low as 3.4 per cent in September all the way to 4.1 per cent at the time of writing.
This article was updated to reflect that Victoria’s government debt is projected to reach $260 billion by 2028.
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