A crash in consumption and business investment will result in the economy contracting 8 per cent in the year to June, the Reserve Bank of Australia says. This, coupled with a 2 per cent drop in the March quarter, means a decline in GDP of about 10 per cent from peak to trough is expected.
The economy will then recover enough to be down 6 per cent by the end of the year, according to the latest central bank forecasts released on Friday.
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Matthew Cranston is the United States correspondent, based in Washington. He was previously the Economics correspondent and Property editor. Connect with Matthew on Twitter. Email Matthew at mcranston@afr.com