Opinion
Do not underestimate Donald Trump’s re-election chances
It is hard to overstate the fatalism of the country that elected him and stands to do so again.
Janan GaneshContributorFollowers of sport will be familiar with the concept of the emotional hedge. On the sound premise that money beats gallows humour as consolation, people bet against their own teams to soften the trauma of defeat.
Even if gambling were legal across the US, the markets would not be liquid enough to meet the demand for such wagers on Donald Trump. Soliciting opinions on the eve of 2020, I find that people who least desire a second term for the US president are the quickest to predict it.
Financial Times
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