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Janan Ganesh

This Month

Trump supporters in North Carolina just before the election. A grand “realignment” in politics takes very little to de-align nowadays.

How the Democrats can win in 2028

The electoral coalition that Donald Trump forged last week was sensational – almost Disraelian in its marriage of the overclass and the working class. But it won’t last.

Donald Trump could lose on Tuesday and still untie the west over time via his protectionist successors.

Whoever wins, we will be living in Trumpland for decades

The trade protectionism that the Republican nominee brought back into fashion now has a momentum of its own. How does profound and lasting change happen?

October

Israeli soldiers work on their tanks.

America’s fickle foreign policy is destabilising the world

The swings between Democratic and Republican presidents weren’t so wild in the heyday of the US. Now it’s like the New England weather.

September

Sir Keir Starmer.

Why even good politicians are unpopular these days

It’s not just Keir Starmer – political leaders are on the nose around the world, and it’s not all their fault. Decades of peace and affluence have raised expectations.

If Donald Trump loses, there is an underrated chance that America and its politics will stabilise for a generation.

A Trump loss could stabilise US politics for a generation

The lesson of 2024 so far is that American populists have no replacement for the former president’s star power. Donald Trump has political superpowers almost unique to him.

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August

Joe Biden.

Biden was good at managing America’s decline

Between the peak of something and its ultimate demise, a vast amount can be achieved. Perhaps it took a man who became president at 78 to see the point.

ixty per cent of Americans want Kamala Harris to junk Biden’s economic platform or to change it in a “major” way.

Harris should distance herself from Bidenomics

The US president’s high-spending protectionism is bad policy and worse politics. It has no answer to America’s brewing public debt crisis.

Old school Republicans fear J.D. Vance is the future of the party.

As a childless man, a new coffee machine is my priority

A Londoner admits his life mirrors the no-kids stereotype criticised by Republican JD Vance: an obsession with food, wine and coffee beans

Kamala Harris flies out of San Francisco after Sunday’s fund-raiser.

How Kamala Harris might still lose

After almost a decade of chasing or holding the White House, Donald Trump’s oddities are priced in while Harris remains ill-defined and half-tested.

July

Joe Biden

Feckless liberals are to blame for Biden’s downfall

The left worldwide ignores problems on its own side, and recent history has turned on that failure.

June

Donald Trump and Blackstone founder Stephen Schwarzman at the White House in 2017.

Why billionaires support Trump

Business people struggle to understand fanaticism. In commercial life, all actors are negotiable, even if their price is high. They also tend to overrate contrarianism.

Emmnanuel Macron. Calling an election might, in fact, be the most prudent thing he could have done.

The last best hope against populism is to expose it to government

Emmanuel Macron has concluded that power often tames radical parties or demonstrates their incompetence. His election call might be the most prudent thing he could have done.

April

Predators know that many children are online when they are unsupervised.

Screen addiction is a disease. Blame wealth

Smartphone addiction, culture wars and low birth rates are all byproducts of modern success that are difficult to fix.

March

Joe Biden

Biden must promise a more conservative second term

The US president has to do what he has always done, except recently: upset his party. The moderates who trusted him in 2020 have to know that he is theirs, not the left’s.

February

Sarah Palin sold a reported 2 million copies of her memoir in hardback. There are European heads of government who can’t do that.

Why losing US elections is a lucrative business

Life is much cushier in opposition, especially in the United States, so there’s no reason to moderate to try and win power.

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January

COP28 president Sultan Ahmed al-Jaber holds the gavel at the end of the climate summit in Dubai on Wednesday.

The world is better seen from Dubai than Davos

When the world was American-led, market-based and ever more democratic, Davos was a useful distillation of it. Dubai is now a more faithful portrait.

When Rishi Sunak cut high-speed rail, commentators drew the wrong lesson.

The welcome demise of big-government Toryism

When Rishi Sunak cut high-speed rail, commentators wrongly saw it as a betrayal of the red wall vision. But the nonsensical red-wall agenda was never needed.

  • Updated
Even Russian President Vladimir Putin has to pretend the country’s elections are deomcratic.

Reports of the death of democracy are greatly exaggerated

The free world has shrunk, but only compared with its zenith 10 years ago. The West today is too willing to give autocrats too much credit, too soon.

December 2023

French President Emmanuel Macron.

Why Emmanuel Macron is bravest leader of the year

The French president is probably the only Western leader to stare down public dissent at much-needed austerity measures. The rest should study his shattering experience.

November 2023

Joe Bide at this week’s traditional Turkey-pardoning ceremony in Washington. The Democrats have had years to cultivate a successor.

Biden can’t spin his way to re-election

To prevent a second term of Donald Trump, Democrats must accept that what is going wrong is their basic proposition, not the framing or messaging of it.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/janan-ganesh-p4yvlb