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China faces the risk of a debt-deflation spiral

If deflation continues to eat into corporate revenues and profits, companies will cut wage growth, creating a vicious ‘loop’ of even weaker aggregate demand and deflationary pressures.

In 2002, Ben Bernanke, then a governor at the US Federal Reserve, gave a speech outlining the importance of keeping deflation at bay. He concluded: “Sustained deflation can be highly destructive to a modern economy and should be strongly resisted.”

Such a warning might not seem pertinent for much of the world where central banks are arguably still fighting the battle against inflation. But in China, it seems highly relevant.

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Financial Times

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/world/asia/china-faces-the-risk-of-a-debt-deflation-spiral-20231213-p5er3t