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Christopher Joye

Prepare for much more downside risk for listed equities

The correction may only be getting started. Equity markets could easily fall another 20-40 per cent.

The market has clearly shifted from the one-eyed positivity that prevailed around Donald Trump’s election victory to now belatedly starting to focus on the many latent downside risks.

And given a starting point for equities that was characterised by extreme overvaluation, the market is absolutely capable of overshooting with its negativity. That may mean this correction is only getting started. Here it is important to remember that markets have a propensity for hyperbole: that is, a tendency to overshoot on both the upside and downside.

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Christopher Joye is a portfolio manager with Coolabah Capital, which invests in securities, including those discussed in his column. Connect with Christopher on Twitter.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/wealth/investing/prepare-for-much-more-downside-risk-for-listed-equities-20250314-p5ljnh