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IMF

January

The report comes just days before Donald Trump’s inauguration, and doesn’t incorporate his expected economic plans regarding trade, taxes, immigration and regulations.

IMF lifts global growth forecast on stronger US demand

“The big story is the divergence between the US and the rest of the world,” IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said.

  • Eric Martin
Senator Jane Hume in Melbourne on Friday.

Opposition savings from housing, green energy funds in doubt

Senator Jane Hume says the Coalition will interrogate Labor’s billions of dollars tied up in funds for housing, clean energy and manufacturing, but admits they may be difficult to unwind.

  • John Kehoe and Michael Read
UniSuper’s John Pearce and Rest Super interim co-CIO Simon Esposito acknowledge the risk of the sector’s size, but say super provides stability through deep, patient pools of capital.

Super admits its size is a risk but says ‘what is the alternative?’

The managers of Australia’s $4.1 trillion retirement savings pool say they are best placed to invest in banks and private lending despite warnings from the RBA and IMF.

  • Hannah Wootton
The US-based IMF has argued that the rapid growth of private credit, coupled with increasing competition from banks on large deals and pressure to deploy capital, may lead to a deterioration in pricing and non-pricing terms.

This is where the next financial crisis could emerge

Private funds, which include venture capital, private equity, private debt, infrastructure, commodities and real estate, now dominate financial activity.

  • John Plender
Donald Trump and wife Melania at Mar-a-Lago on New Year’s Eve. Economists say his policies will hit global growth.

Trump’s ‘Maganomics’ will damage growth: economists

Surveys of more than 220 economists in the US, UK and Eurozone showed most respondents believed his protectionist shift would outweigh the benefits of his policies.

  • Valentina Romei, Sam Fleming, Colby Smith and Olaf Storbeck
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The late Jimmy Carter was something of a deregulator and fresh thinker in office. But the electorate wasn’t fed up enough at that stage to entertain a total rupture with the postwar Keynesian consensus.

Rich democracies need an acute crisis to trigger real change

It is almost impossible to sell voters on drastic reforms until their nation is in acute trouble. The chronic kind isn’t enough.

  • Janan Ganesh

December 2024

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IMF warns Australia; Rich Lister charged; Families sell $180m hotel

Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

Donald Trump may be the worst possible person to guide America through the turmoil that’s probably ahead.

The new world order looks like mercantilism

The chaotic politics of the past 16 years masked the steady development of a new economic order, but trade and the economy aren’t zero-sum games.

  • John Authers

November 2024

Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Retreat meeting, in Lima, Peru, on Saturday 16 November 2024. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in Peru.

IMF warns Australia and APEC on budget spending

Managing director Kristalina Georgieva told leaders while it was “remarkable” that inflation was retreating globally without recession, “in many countries it is not reflected in public sentiment”.

  • Phillip Coorey
Australia’s budget numbers are increasingly a mirage as billions in spending are labelled as ‘investments’ to improve the fiscal optics.

Inside Canberra’s hidden $180b spending boom

Australia’s budget numbers are increasingly a mirage as billions in spending are labelled as ‘investments’ to improve the fiscal optics.

  • Michael Read

October 2024

Australians are lucky to have the nearly $4 trillion superannuation sector. It is world class, but can always be better.

Super system potshot a chance to double down on Keating’s vision

While we should not let the International Monetary Fund dictate how ordinary Australians’ savings are invested, it does have a point worth talking about.

  • Anthony Macdonald
Michele Bullock is expected to look through data on Wednesday showing inflation fell to 2.9 per cent in September.

RBA to hold tight even as inflation hits 3½-year low

Michele Bullock is expected to look through data on Wednesday showing inflation fell to 2.9 per cent in September.

  • Michael Read
The IMF forecasts federal and state government revenue will reach a record 36.4 per cent of GDP in 2024, but the tax take won’t be enough to cover increased spending.

Record tax take won’t stop decade of deficits: IMF

The IMF forecasts federal and state government revenue will reach a record 36.4 per cent of GDP in 2024, but the tax take won’t be enough to cover increased spending.

  • Michael Read
The warning is the second time in as many months the super sector has been labelled a risk to markets, after the RBA said funds could amplify future downturns.

$3.9 trillion super sector a risk to stability, warns IMF

It’s too easy for Australians to move funds in the $3.9 trillion superannuation sector into high-risk investments such as private equity, the International Monetary Fund has warned.

  • Michael Read
A local market burns after a Russian strike in Mykolaiv. The Ukraine war is on the agenda for this week’s meetings of the IMF and World Bank.

IMF, World Bank meetings clouded by wars, economy, US election

The elephant in the room will be the potential for an election victory by Donald Trump to upend the international economic system with massive new US tariffs.

  • Updated
  • David Lawder
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RBA deputy governor Andrew Hauser fronted about 300 investors at CBA on Monday.

Don’t expect rapid fire rate cuts: RBA deputy governor

RBA deputy Andrew Hauser has dampened expectations of an aggressive rate-cutting cycle.

  • Michael Read
The Geneva skyline with the Jet d’Eau fountain in the centre.

A tour of the weird places the global elite hide wealth

A new book explores the ‘special zones’ created to bring in money and industry.

  • Jordan Weissmann
Israel, which has been fighting Hamas in the Palestinian territory of Gaza for almost a year, sent troops into southern Lebanon on Tuesday.

Middle East escalation poses significant economic risks: IMF

The Washington-based global lender is closely monitoring the situation in southern Lebanon with “grave concern”.

  • David Lawder
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IMF warns Chalmers; Origin’s hydrogen blow; OpenAI’s $229b moment

Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

Westpac estimates state and federal government spending will hit 28 per cent of GDP by the end of 2025, up from the pre-pandemic average of about 22.5 per cent.

IMF puts Chalmers on notice over rates, super tax and spending

In its annual health check of Australia’s economy, the International Monetary Fund said more unexpected expenditure rises will force the RBA to keep rates high.

  • Michael Read

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/topic/international-monetary-fund-1m3l