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John Black

Tracking the Voice decline starts with Albanese

Having made a hot mess of the referendum, the Prime Minister is now offering to work with the Opposition in the unlikely event the Yes case wins. It’s all a year too late.

As referendum day approaches, the only nice thing the polls reveal about the chance of success for the Voice is that its rate of decline is no longer accelerating.

We’re still looking at a national Yes vote in about the low-40s, and Yes losing every mainland state. Victoria is the closest to call and the Tasmanian sample is too small to use, but showing some signs of being the only state which could vote Yes.

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John Black is a former Labor senator for Queensland. He is executive chairman of profiling company Australian Development Strategies, and of Education Geographics.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/tracking-the-voice-decline-starts-with-albanese-20231004-p5e9u0