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Warren Hogan

This budget won’t be a catalyst for rate cuts

When setting monetary policy, the RBA will look through temporary factors impacting prices to understand the underlying trend for inflation within the economy.

Warren HoganEconomist

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The Treasurer can say it until he is blue in the face, but Australia’s fiscal settings as revealed in Tuesday’s budget will not help bring down inflation.

The Treasury forecasts for inflation to fall to 2.75 per cent by June 2025 are mainly due to an extension of the energy rebate and rental assistance. These subsidies are estimated to reduce measured inflation by half a percentage point next year.

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Warren Hogan is managing director of  EQ Economics and economic adviser to Judo Bank.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/reversing-bracket-creep-and-new-spending-is-inflationary-20240509-p5jb6p