With boundaries and candidates for Australia’s 150 federal seats soon to be finalised and the election date only eight months away, polls and predictions are getting pretty thick on the ground. It’s time to outline the range of possible outcomes based on a combination of individual seat modelling, state and territory elections, opinion polls and preference trends.

Last election, I predicted professional women would start electing teal MPs in once-safe Liberal seats; next election, due by May 24, it’s the turn of Labor to see its once-safe seats threatened by angry working-class men.