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Japan’s China paradox has lessons for Australia

Japan’s China paradox has lessons for Australia

Japan’s new prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, wants a more equal relationship with the US. That could spell trouble as Tokyo confronts the “deep threat” from China.

A Chinese fighter jet takes off from an aircraft carrier near Taiwan. AP

James CurranInternational editor

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Japanese anxiety about China’s military muscle reveals itself in a fascinating set of numbers.

In a briefing at the headquarters of Japan’s self-defence forces in Naha, Okinawa’s capital, there are few opening formalities. Instead, a series of stark ratios flash across the screen. They offer a raw appraisal of how Japanese policymakers see the power imbalance in North Asia. On the number of ballistic missiles, the ratio is 2300 to zero; on fighter aircraft, 5:1. And on the number of navy and air force bases, China enjoys a 29:1 advantage over its neighbour.

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James Curran
James CurranInternational editorJames Curran is The Australian Financial Review’s International Editor and professor of modern history at Sydney University.

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Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs/japan-s-china-paradox-has-lessons-for-australia-20241014-p5ki6s