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Recession a 50-50 chance if RBA raises rates: economists

Aaron Patrick
Aaron PatrickSenior correspondent

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Leading economists say entrenched inflation has a 50 per cent chance of triggering a recession by forcing the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates further.

More than 100,000 extra Australians could be unemployed even if there is not a recession as the economy deteriorates over the next two years, predicted Judo Bank economic adviser Warren Hogan.

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Aaron Patrick is the senior correspondent. He writes about politics and business from the Sydney newsroom. Email Aaron at apatrick@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/recession-a-50-50-chance-if-rba-raises-rates-economists-20240628-p5jpl2