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RBA to lift cash rate to 5.1pc, says top forecaster

Michael Read
Michael ReadEconomics correspondent

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A resurgent domestic economy and sticky inflation will force the Reserve Bank to do a U-turn and increase its benchmark interest rate three times this year to 5.1 per cent, Judo Bank chief economic adviser Warren Hogan has warned.

After several months of hotter-than-expected data, Mr Hogan has jettisoned his forecast for the RBA to stay on hold until early 2025 and then deliver a rate cut.

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Michael Read is the Financial Review's economics correspondent, reporting from the federal press gallery at Parliament House. He was previously an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia and at UBS. Connect with Michael on Twitter. Email Michael at michael.read@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/rba-to-lift-cash-rate-to-5-1pc-says-top-forecaster-20240425-p5fmhg