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Long-term growth is more vulnerable than it looks

Long-term growth is more vulnerable than it looks

A new book argues the belief that economies should always expand is relatively new, and threats to the future of growth are as large now as any time in the post-Industrial Revolution era.

Why does the economy grow? How does the economy grow? Should the economy grow? How do we even know how fast the economy is growing?

We have taken economic growth for granted for much of the past century. When the economy isn’t growing it dominates the news cycle, because those periods of decline have very much been the exception, not the rule. Even the slightest prospect of a recession can generate reams of tomorrow’s fish and chip wrappers.

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Guy Debelle
Guy DebelleFormer RBA deputy governorGuy Debelle is a non-executive director at Tivan and a former deputy governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia.

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Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/long-term-growth-is-more-vulnerable-than-it-looks-20240506-p5fp5a