As 2024 begins, there are many known unknowns – especially on the geopolitical front – and presumably as many unknown unknowns lurking on the horizon. Producing any forecast for the global economy is thus more difficult than usual. For their part, investment houses seem to be expecting a further slowdown in 2024, with many flummoxed by the fact that we haven’t had a major slump already.
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Jim O’Neill was chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management and former commercial secretary to the UK Treasury.