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Stephen Roach

Ghost of the ’70s haunts US Fed

The world has played a heavy price before for cavalierly dismissing inflationary costs as ‘transitory’.

Stephen RoachAsia watcher

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Memories can be tricky. I have long been haunted by the inflation of the 1970s. Fifty years ago, when I had just started my career as a professional economist at the Federal Reserve, I was witness to the birth of the Great Inflation as a Fed insider. That left me with the recurring nightmares of a financial post-traumatic stress disorder.

The bad dreams are back. They centre on the Fed’s legendary chairman at the time, Arthur F. Burns, who brought a unique perspective to the US central bank as an expert on the business cycle.

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Project Syndicate

Stephen S. Roach is a faculty member at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/ghost-of-the-70s-haunts-us-fed-20210526-p57vfo