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Jim O'Neill

A wage-price spiral is a ticket to revisiting the 1970s

Without price stability or productivity improvements, generous wage, fiscal, or monetary policies will represent nothing but false promises.

There has been much talk lately of a return to 1970s economic conditions. In Britain, year-on-year inflation reached 9.1 per cent in May, and disruptive labour strikes are dominating the headlines.

But is a 1970s-style economy really in the offing? Much will depend on what happens with wage settlements and monetary and fiscal policy. And there are, of course, several global forces to consider, including COVID-19, China’s uncertain economic outlook, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and the parlous state of global economic and political governance generally.

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Project Syndicate

Jim O’Neill was chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management and former commercial secretary to the UK Treasury.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/a-wage-price-spiral-is-a-ticket-to-revisiting-the-1970s-20220626-p5awnx