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Why rising house prices make RBA rate cuts less likely

The latest data from the housing market says supply remains weak, and prices are rising again. That will probably give the RBA a headache.

If it wasn’t already very clear, Monday’s big miss on building approvals is more evidence that the thorny problem of increased supply in the housing market won’t be solved anytime soon.

The latest data was so bad – the 1 per cent fall in January took building approvals to a 12-year low, and detached dwellings were down 9.9 per cent in a month – that it probably should be treated with a grain of salt; there seems to be a lot of seasonal noise in economic data at the moment.

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James Thomson is senior Chanticleer columnist based in Melbourne. He was the Companies editor and editor of BRW Magazine. Connect with James on Twitter. Email James at j.thomson@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/why-rising-house-prices-make-rba-rate-cuts-less-likely-20240304-p5f9qj