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Inflation miss is a reminder the RBA won’t save this economy

Our obsession with the next move in rates is understandable, but we can’t rely on the Reserve Bank to fix everything.

Whether Wednesday’s slightly hotter-than-expected monthly inflation reading is enough to derail the July interest rate cut the market was expecting from the Reserve Bank will be a topic of hot debate in the coming days.

Although headline inflation of 2.4 per cent for April sat comfortably within the central bank’s target band for price growth between 2 per cent and 3 per cent, the rise in the trimmed mean number for the month – from 2.7 per cent to 2.8 per cent – would appear to be mildly negative news for those banking on a July cut.

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James Thomson is senior Chanticleer columnist based in Melbourne. He was the Companies editor and editor of BRW Magazine. Connect with James on Twitter. Email James at j.thomson@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/inflation-miss-is-a-reminder-the-rba-won-t-save-this-economy-20250528-p5m2zt