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John McCarthy

This Month

President-elect Donald Trump with Senator Marco Rubio, front-runner for Secretary of State in the incoming administration.

What Trump’s chosen ones tell us about his foreign policy

The way in which America thinks about itself and its international environment has been changing for some years. Trump Redux puts it into sharp relief.

June

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi campaigning in Chennai, India.

Modi’s authoritarianism will make relations with India harder to handle

It would be a tragedy and have adverse implications for the West if India’s struggle for internal harmony were to founder on the rocks of majoritarian elective autocracy.

March

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh shake hands in Hanoi.

Comprehensive upgrade puts Australia in Vietnam’s top tier

Diplomatic relations have come a long way from when we opened our first embassy in Hanoi – a bedraggled couple of hotel rooms with lino floors in the war-ravaged city.

February

Prabowo finally looks set to govern as his own man.

Indonesia’s Prabowo finally steps from the shadows

Prabowo Subianto has been the coming man for a long time. That will shape how the likely winner of Indonesia’s presidential election will govern.

December 2023

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is a Hindu supremacist whose government largely ignores the aspirations of Muslims and other minorities.

State sanctioned killings are not the image of India we are used to

It is still to the good that India’s image here of cricket, the Commonwealth and bling is fading. But some sides of that change are not an unalloyed blessing.

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July 2023

Resistance within the Global South to western appeals for solidarity on Ukraine is a “mutiny”.

Foreign policy must focus on ‘the rest’, not just team West

Most of our neighbours are part of the Global South. It follows that a serious appreciation of – and policy response to – its concerns would benefit our regional interests.

President Joko Widodo arrives in Australia this week.

Indonesia could help bring China and America back from the brink

If the country moves away from fence-sitting neutrality, Indonesia would no longer be a small big country, but a large big one.

June 2023

A Vietnam remains hard line but staunchly independent of superpowers.

Albanese will find the region’s most enigmatic player in Vietnam

The country has unique standing in Asia: the country watched most closely by Beijing and Washington to see which way it is tilting.

May 2023

Narendra Modi’s India does not lend itself to identification with democratic principle.

India doesn’t share our world view

New Delhi will never involve itself in any US confrontation with China that did not threaten its own security. It is guided by what it thinks is best for India.

April 2023

China’s marginally ambivalent but plainly visible alignment with Russia on Ukraine has also given the New Cold War a crucial new dimension.

We must work to manage the second cold war, lest it turns hot

The first cold war had the finest minds on both sides working to reduce tensions. We need to learn from the differences between that confrontation and this one.

March 2023

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Their “no limits” relationship may be hype, but it has helped Russia manage the costs of its invasion of neighbouring Ukraine.

Australia’s diplomacy needs more talk, less chest beating

The government’s muscular security policy should not overshadow its diplomatic work to diminish the risk of hostilities.

November 2022

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Foreign Minister Penny Wong at the Pacific Islands Forum.

Anthony Albanese can set the right tone in Asian relations

Nine days of international summitry will be an important test of the Prime Minister’s low-key listening style.

September 2022

Narendra Modi has chided Vladimir Putin for an ill-timed war.

India’s Modi is a rising geopolitical force

The focus in Samarkand was on Putin and Xi. But it was India’s prime minister who played his cards most shrewdly.

August 2022

Nancy Pelosi and other US Congress members in Tiananmen Square, Beijing, 1991.

How can US and China step back from rolling crises?

The problem now is that the Taiwan turmoil will be the backdrop to the next crisis that comes along.

July 2022

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is seen as he visits Maidan square in Kyiv, Ukraine, Sunday, July 3, 2022. Mr Albanese made a 12 hours long visit to Kyiv meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. (AAP Image/Lukas Coch) NO ARCHIVING . POOL VIA AAP.

Albanese must be a global prime minister

Since we developed our own foreign policies after World War II, we have never been lazy as international players – but we always tended to run out of puff.

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May 2022

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Foreign Minister Penny Wong board a plane for the Quad meeting.

Two foreign policy mind-sets that Labor must now adopt

Prime Minister Albanese has swiftly left for the Quad summit in Tokyo. But getting the instincts right on overseas relations means more than any to-do lists.

March 2022

Leaders of the Quad’s member countries in Washington in September 2021.

India must be clear about Ukraine

New Delhi’s reluctance to condemn Russian behaviour puts at risk its best chances of managing the rise of China with like-minded neighbours.

February 2022

Ukrainian troops forced the Russians back from the city of Karkhiv at the weekend.

Australia’s foreign policy task has just got much harder

A generation of peace between major nations is ending. That has profound consequences for Australians and their foreign policy choices too.

January 2022

Activists hold posters during a SayNOtoPutin rally in Kiev, Ukraine, this month.

Why the West cannot afford defeat in Ukraine

If Putin does achieve regime change through military means, NATO will lose and the West’s global reputation will take a big tumble.

December 2021

The manner in which the nuclear submarines deal was conducted has damaged the degree to which we are trusted other nations.

It’s time for Australia to be a ‘smart power’ country

AUKUS shows the Morrison government’s hard power mindset. But getting the balance right with soft power assets is essential to further the national interest.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/john-mccarthy-p4yvut