Analysis

Could the US polls get it as wrong as 2016?

Like Hillary Clinton four years ago, Joe Biden is enjoying healthy poll leads. With only a week until election day, could lightning strike twice and Trump again defy the pollsters, political pundits and media?

John KehoeEconomics editor

Updated Oct 28, 2020 – 3.10pm, first published at 11.05am

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Four years ago after a whirlwind Greyhound bus trip across American swing states, I returned to Washington, DC to tell a pollster about meeting many working-class Democrats who said they would vote for Donald Trump.

"How do you know they're Democrats?" the pollster responded. "Some people like to say they're from one party but voting for the other."

John Kehoe is economics editor at Parliament House, Canberra. He writes on economics, politics and business. John was Washington correspondent covering Donald Trump’s first election. He joined the Financial Review in 2008 from Treasury.